Ticker Options Intelligence

AIT options intelligence

Applied Industrial Technologies options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 37 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:11 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

AIT currently carries bearish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 6.9%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.00

Put-side skew

Trend fit 75

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -0.5%

RS 13.4

Expected move 6.9%
Put-call volume 2.00
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.33
Max pain 280.00
Underlying 347.06
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 248

Research Brief

AIT has a bearish chain read with 37/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 323.21–370.91; The largest call open-interest concentration is 320.00; the largest put concentration is 190.00. The most active strike by current volume is 160.00.

Priced range323.21–370.91
Call concentration320.00
Put concentration190.00
Max pain reference280.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 323.21 to 370.91. Max pain at 280.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
323.21347.06 ± 23.85370.91
Confirmation level

A close beyond 370.91 or below 323.21 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 37/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 28/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure28 × 42%
+11.6

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation4 × 22%
+1.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement75 × 26%
+19.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility51 × 10%
+5.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 320.00; the largest put concentration is 190.00. The most active strike by current volume is 160.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
15
190.00-45.3%
0
10
195.00-43.8%
0
14
210.00-39.5%
1
10
240.00-30.8%
1
8
260.00-25.1%
1
6
270.00-22.2%
6
11
280.00-19.3%
19
7
290.00-16.4%
7
2
300.00-13.6%
18
1
310.00-10.7%
22
1
320.00-7.8%
37
1
330.00-4.9%
9
3
340.00-2.0%
35
2
350.000.8%
20
0
370.006.6%
20
0
380.009.5%
19
0
390.0012.4%
12
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.12× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.33 21 Aug 22d
0.31 18 Sep 50d
0.30 20 Nov 113d
0.30 19 Feb 204d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

280
290
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
248 / 248
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

69/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $35495 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · atm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-28
1W price-0.5%
Call premium40%
Put premium60%
Notional split C 40% / P 60% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 75/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 12 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ATM
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 9 contracts traded, $21080 estimated gross traded notional, and 59% of visible notional.
$21080
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $9820 estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional.
$9820
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $4340 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$4340
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $255 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$255

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close345.21
1W-0.5%
RS13.4
Fair value+50.1%
Options pressure-28
Speculation4
Volatility51
Trend fit75

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.9% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.33 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:26 Bearish
Pressure -75
Move 6.8%
30 Jul 10:22 Bearish
Pressure -42
Move 7.6%
31 Jul 10:11 Bearish
Pressure -28
Move 6.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike160.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike165.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike170.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike175.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike180.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike185.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike190.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 15
Strike195.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts68
Avg IV0.30
Put-call1.80
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts62
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.38
Skew0.06
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.33
Skew0.04
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.32
Skew0.03
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.31
Skew0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAIT261120P00340000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike340.00
Volume5
OI19
IV0.31
ContractAIT261120C00340000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike340.00
Volume4
OI79
IV0.30
ContractAIT261120P00350000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike350.00
Volume4
OI36
IV0.30
ContractAIT261120C00310000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike310.00
Volume1
OI4
IV0.32
ContractAIT270219P00240000
SidePut
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike240.00
Volume1
OI2
IV0.35
ContractAIT261120C00300000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike300.00
Volume-
OI50
IV0.33
ContractAIT260918C00350000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike350.00
Volume-
OI50
IV0.30
ContractAIT260821C00320000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike320.00
Volume-
OI37
IV0.38