Ticker Options Intelligence

MVIS options intelligence

Microvision Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 14:38 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

MVIS currently carries bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 103.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 103.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.21

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.7%

RS -70.3

Expected move 103.3%
Put-call volume 0.21
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 0.50
Underlying 0.25
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 75

Research Brief

MVIS has a bullish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.00–0.51; The largest call open-interest concentration is 1.00; the largest put concentration is 0.50. The most active strike by current volume is 0.50.

Priced range0.00–0.51
Call concentration1.00
Put concentration0.50
Max pain reference0.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 31 Jul

Options imply 0.00 to 0.51. Max pain at 0.50 sits inside that range, 98.6% above spot. The theoretical downside extends below zero, so the displayed lower bound is floored at 0.00.

Spot Max pain
0.000.25 ± 0.260.51
Confirmation level

A close beyond 0.51 or below 0.00 at the 31 Jul expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 76/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure76 × 42%
+31.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation23 × 22%
+5.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility61 × 10%
+6.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 1.00; the largest put concentration is 0.50. The most active strike by current volume is 0.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
94
0.5098.6%
239
0
1.00297.3%
252
0
1.50495.9%
0
0
2.00694.6%
13
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.60× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.30 31 Jul 0d
0.38 7 Aug 7d
0.38 14 Aug 14d
0.81 21 Aug 21d
0.50 28 Aug 28d
0.33 18 Sep 49d
1.02 20 Nov 112d
0.48 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes99%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
75 / 75
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

74/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $34027 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+76
1W price+5.7%
Call premium22%
Put premium78%
Notional split C 22% / P 78% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 5 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 157 contracts traded, $24069 estimated gross traded notional, and 71% of visible notional.
$24069
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 712 contracts traded, $6934 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$6934
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 16 contracts traded, $2050 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$2050
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 40 contracts traded, $234 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$234
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 76 contracts traded, $229 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$229

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close0.27
1W+5.7%
RS-70.3
Fair value-79.7%
Options pressure76
Speculation23
Volatility61
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 103.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:40 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 115.2%
30 Jul 11:19 Volatility
Pressure 97
Move 101.3%
30 Jul 15:06 Volatility
Pressure 79
Move 101.3%
30 Jul 15:35 Bullish
Pressure 72
Move 101.3%
30 Jul 19:52 Bullish
Pressure 72
Move 101.3%
31 Jul 06:44 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 101.3%
31 Jul 13:38 Bullish
Pressure 76
Move 103.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike0.50
Calls · V 8 · OI 239
Puts · V 8 · OI 94
Strike1.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 252
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike1.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike2.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 13
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts5
Avg IV0.30
Put-call0.53
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.06
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.05
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts13
Avg IV0.81
Put-call0.37
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV0.50
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV-
Skew-
7 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV-
Skew-
14 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV-
Skew-
21 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV-
Skew-
28 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMVIS260814C00002000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike2.00
Volume-
OI60
IV0.50
ContractMVIS280121P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI29
IV1.69
ContractMVIS261120P00002000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.00
Volume-
OI2
IV-
ContractMVIS261120P00001000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike1.00
Volume-
OI1
IV-
ContractMVIS261120P00001500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike1.50
Volume-
OI1
IV6.13
ContractMVIS260731P00001500
SidePut
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike1.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractMVIS280121C00000500
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike0.50
Volume287
OI7897
IV0.25
ContractMVIS270115C00001000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.00
Volume131
OI19448
IV0.50