Ticker Options Intelligence

FRT options intelligence

Federal Realty Investment Trust options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 46 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 13:59 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

FRT currently carries bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.2%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.01

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -1.6%

RS 8.5

Expected move 4.2%
Put-call volume 0.01
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.20
Max pain 110.00
Underlying 126.08
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 176

Research Brief

FRT has a bullish chain read with 46/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 120.76–131.40; The largest call open-interest concentration is 115.00; the largest put concentration is 105.00. The most active strike by current volume is 125.00.

Priced range120.76–131.40
Call concentration115.00
Put concentration105.00
Max pain reference110.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 120.76 to 131.40. Max pain at 110.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
120.76126.08 ± 5.32131.40
Confirmation level

A close beyond 131.40 or below 120.76 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 46/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation5 × 22%
+1.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility31 × 10%
+3.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score46.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 115.00; the largest put concentration is 105.00. The most active strike by current volume is 125.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
55.00-56.4%
0
1
60.00-52.4%
0
0
65.00-48.4%
0
0
70.00-44.5%
0
54
75.00-40.5%
0
60
80.00-36.5%
0
13
85.00-32.6%
0
44
90.00-28.6%
0
5
95.00-24.7%
0
29
100.00-20.7%
0
808
105.00-16.7%
8
3
110.00-12.8%
61
5
115.00-8.8%
1023
18
120.00-4.8%
96
3
125.00-0.9%
690
0
130.003.1%
68
0
135.007.1%
478
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.92× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.20 21 Aug 22d
0.17 18 Sep 50d
0.22 20 Nov 113d
0.21 19 Feb 204d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
176 / 176
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

66/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $36098 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · atm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-1.6%
Call premium99%
Put premium1%
Notional split C 99% / P 1% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ATM
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 25 contracts traded, $14250 estimated gross traded notional, and 39% of visible notional.
$14250
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $12200 estimated gross traded notional, and 34% of visible notional.
$12200
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 20 contracts traded, $7100 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$7100
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 9 contracts traded, $2025 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$2025
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $262 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$262

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close124.09
1W-1.6%
RS8.5
Fair value+26.5%
Options pressure100
Speculation5
Volatility31
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.2% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.20 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:27 Bullish
Pressure 98
Move 4.8%
30 Jul 10:23 Bearish
Pressure -49
Move 4.4%
31 Jul 12:59 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 4.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 54
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 60
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 13
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 44

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.20
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.17
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.22
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts46
Avg IV0.21
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.63
Skew0.38
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.04
Skew-0.17
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.26
Skew0.07
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.18
Put IV0.25
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractFRT261120C00125000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike125.00
Volume25
OI39
IV0.20
ContractFRT261120C00130000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike130.00
Volume20
OI74
IV0.20
ContractFRT261120C00115000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike115.00
Volume10
OI29
IV0.21
ContractFRT260821C00125000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike125.00
Volume9
OI690
IV0.21
ContractFRT260821C00135000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike135.00
Volume8
OI478
IV0.25
ContractFRT270219P00105000
SidePut
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike105.00
Volume1
OI3
IV0.29
ContractFRT260821C00115000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike115.00
Volume-
OI1023
IV0.35
ContractFRT260918C00130000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike130.00
Volume-
OI905
IV0.21