Ticker Options Intelligence

OPAD options intelligence

Offerpad Solutions Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 10:02 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

OPAD currently carries volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 49.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.07.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 49.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.07

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.09

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -3.7%

RS -77.8

Expected move 49.0%
Put-call volume 0.09
Volume / OI 0.07
Reference IV 0.80
Max pain 0.50
Underlying 4.02
Nearest expiry 16 Oct 2026
Contracts 34

Research Brief

OPAD has a volatility chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 2.05–5.99; The largest call open-interest concentration is 7.50; the largest put concentration is 0.50. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00.

Priced range2.05–5.99
Call concentration7.50
Put concentration0.50
Max pain reference0.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 16 Oct

Options imply 2.05 to 5.99. Max pain at 0.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
2.054.02 ± 1.975.99
Confirmation level

A close beyond 5.99 or below 2.05 at the 16 Oct expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 94/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure94 × 42%
+39.5

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation18 × 22%
+3.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score52.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 7.50; the largest put concentration is 0.50. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
4
0.50-87.6%
0
0
1.00-75.1%
0
0
1.50-62.7%
8
0
2.50-37.8%
0
0
5.0024.4%
0
0
7.5086.6%
54
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.67× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.80 16 Oct 77d
0.49 15 Jan 168d
1.20 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 16 Oct 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
34 / 34
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

84/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $12796 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+94
1W price-3.7%
Call premium49%
Put premium51%
Notional split C 49% / P 51% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.07 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 372 contracts traded, $5752 estimated gross traded notional, and 45% of visible notional.
$5752
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 32 contracts traded, $3486 estimated gross traded notional, and 27% of visible notional.
$3486
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $2695 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$2695
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $374 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$374
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 17 contracts traded, $273 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$273

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close3.87
1W-3.7%
RS-77.8
Fair value-90.4%
Options pressure94
Speculation18
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 49.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.80 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.09 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.07 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:49 Volatility
Pressure 94
Move 49.0%
30 Jul 11:26 Volatility
Pressure 94
Move 49.0%
30 Jul 19:58 Volatility
Pressure 94
Move 49.0%
31 Jul 13:29 Volatility
Pressure 94
Move 49.0%
31 Jul 17:30 Volatility
Pressure 94
Move 49.0%
1 Aug 09:02 Volatility
Pressure 94
Move 49.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike0.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike1.00
Calls · V 14 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike1.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike2.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 54
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV0.80
Put-call0.10
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts11
Avg IV0.49
Put-call0.06
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Contracts15
Avg IV1.20
Put-call0.61

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.13
Put IV0.25
Skew0.12
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.13
Put IV0.25
Skew0.12
21 Jan 2028Put IV premium
Call IV0.06
Put IV3.04
Skew2.98

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractOPAD280121C00002000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike2.00
Volume-
OI23
IV0.00
ContractOPAD261016P00000500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike0.50
Volume-
OI4
IV5.05
ContractOPAD261016C00005000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.13
ContractOPAD261016P00001000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike1.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.50
ContractOPAD270115C00001000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.00
Volume250
OI-
IV0.00
ContractOPAD270115C00001500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.50
Volume103
OI214
IV0.00
ContractOPAD261016C00001000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike1.00
Volume14
OI-
IV0.00
ContractOPAD270115P00001000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike1.00
Volume10
OI30
IV0.50