Ticker Options Intelligence

RPM options intelligence

RPM International Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 13:27 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

RPM currently carries bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 6.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.30

Put-side skew

Trend fit 96

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +1.8%

RS -9.3

Expected move 6.1%
Put-call volume 2.30
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 100.00
Underlying 107.00
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 170

Research Brief

RPM has a bearish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 100.43–113.57; The largest call open-interest concentration is 110.00; the largest put concentration is 90.00. The most active strike by current volume is 90.00.

Priced range100.43–113.57
Call concentration110.00
Put concentration90.00
Max pain reference100.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 100.43 to 113.57. Max pain at 100.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
100.43107.00 ± 6.57113.57
Confirmation level

A close beyond 113.57 or below 100.43 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 30/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure30 × 42%
+12.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation4 × 22%
+0.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement96 × 26%
+25.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility46 × 10%
+4.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 110.00; the largest put concentration is 90.00. The most active strike by current volume is 90.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
8
75.00-29.9%
0
26
80.00-25.2%
1
20
85.00-20.6%
0
92
90.00-15.9%
0
16
95.00-11.2%
21
48
100.00-6.5%
37
22
105.00-1.9%
11
4
110.002.8%
170
2
115.007.5%
27
0
120.0012.1%
50
0
125.0016.8%
57
0
130.0021.5%
83
0
135.0026.2%
17
0
140.0030.8%
3
0
145.0035.5%
42
0
150.0040.2%
3
0
160.0049.5%
40
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.98× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.30 21 Aug 22d
0.31 18 Sep 50d
0.31 20 Nov 113d
0.31 19 Feb 204d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
170 / 170
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

57/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $6525 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-30
1W price+1.8%
Call premium91%
Put premium9%
Notional split C 91% / P 9% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 96/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $5950 estimated gross traded notional, and 91% of visible notional.
$5950
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 23 contracts traded, $575 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$575

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close107.00
1W+1.8%
RS-9.3
Fair value-2.2%
Options pressure-30
Speculation4
Volatility46
Trend fit96

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.1% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.30 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:23 Bullish
Pressure 62
Move 8.4%
30 Jul 10:20 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 7.0%
31 Jul 12:27 Bearish
Pressure -30
Move 6.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 26
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 20
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 23 · OI 92

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts46
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.42
Skew0.11
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.35
Skew0.05
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.36
Skew0.07
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.27
Put IV0.35
Skew0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRPM260821P00090000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike90.00
Volume23
OI92
IV0.46
ContractRPM261120C00115000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike115.00
Volume5
OI95
IV0.29
ContractRPM270219C00115000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike115.00
Volume5
OI13
IV0.29
ContractRPM260821C00110000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike110.00
Volume-
OI170
IV0.32
ContractRPM261120C00140000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike140.00
Volume-
OI103
IV0.16
ContractRPM260821C00130000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike130.00
Volume-
OI83
IV0.29
ContractRPM261120C00135000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike135.00
Volume-
OI79
IV0.14
ContractRPM260918C00110000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike110.00
Volume-
OI70
IV0.30