Ticker Options Intelligence

CF options intelligence

CF Industries Holdings Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 46 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 02:13 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

CF currently carries bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 3.5%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.46

Call-side skew

Trend fit 60

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.0%

RS 17.8

Expected move 3.5%
Put-call volume 0.46
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 0.52
Max pain 114.00
Underlying 125.07
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 1332

Options Intent Radar

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

84/100
Primary intent Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2.8M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+39
1W price+3.0%
Call premium89%
Put premium11%
Notional split C 89% / P 11% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 60/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 6 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1211 contracts traded, $1.3M estimated gross traded notional, and 46% of visible notional.
$1.3M
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 1154 contracts traded, $411418 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$411418
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 112 contracts traded, $348970 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$348970
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 653 contracts traded, $113885 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$113885
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 26 contracts traded, $63110 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$63110

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

100

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close125.07
1W+3.0%
RS17.8
Fair value+46.8%
Options pressure39
Speculation41
Volatility51
Trend fit60

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.5% muted
30d avg 4.0% · 1 read 0th
90d avg 4.0% · 1 read 0th
180d avg 4.0% · 1 read 0th
IV 0.52 elevated
30d avg 0.49 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.49 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.49 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.46 muted
30d avg 0.65 · 1 read 0th
90d avg 0.65 · 1 read 0th
180d avg 0.65 · 1 read 0th
Volume/OI 0.05 elevated
30d avg 0.02 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.02 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.02 · 1 read 100th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:20 Bullish
Pressure 23
Move 4.0%
30 Jul 01:13 Bullish
Pressure 39
Move 3.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 1 · OI 3
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 1 · OI 2
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike88.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike89.00
Calls · V 43 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike90.00
Calls · V 43 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 48
Strike91.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 35

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts132
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.23
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts136
Avg IV0.59
Put-call0.26
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts118
Avg IV0.51
Put-call0.62
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts130
Avg IV0.47
Put-call0.43
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts104
Avg IV0.47
Put-call0.16

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.50
Skew-0.04
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.55
Put IV0.57
Skew0.02
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.52
Skew0.03
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.49
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.48
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCF270115C00140000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike140.00
Volume1024
OI2113
IV0.42
ContractCF260821C00130000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike130.00
Volume612
OI932
IV0.46
ContractCF261120P00090000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike90.00
Volume609
OI1070
IV0.49
ContractCF260821P00105000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike105.00
Volume377
OI2033
IV0.52
ContractCF260821C00136000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike136.00
Volume212
OI10
IV0.43
ContractCF260821C00150000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike150.00
Volume135
OI562
IV0.51
ContractCF261120C00135000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike135.00
Volume104
OI1030
IV0.43
ContractCF260821P00114000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike114.00
Volume98
OI3
IV0.50