Ticker Options Intelligence

OTTR options intelligence

Otter Tail Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:26 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

OTTR currently carries bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.4%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.20

Call-side skew

Trend fit 16

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.5%

RS 0.4

Expected move 5.4%
Put-call volume 0.20
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 90.00
Underlying 92.34
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 148

Research Brief

OTTR has a bullish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 87.34–97.34; The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 85.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00.

Priced range87.34–97.34
Call concentration100.00
Put concentration85.00
Max pain reference90.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 87.34 to 97.34. Max pain at 90.00 sits inside that range, 2.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
87.3492.34 ± 5.0097.34
Confirmation level

A close beyond 97.34 or below 87.34 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 76/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure76 × 42%
+31.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.7

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement16 × 26%
+4.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility40 × 10%
+4.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score40.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 100.00; the largest put concentration is 85.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
45.00-51.3%
0
0
50.00-45.9%
0
1
55.00-40.4%
0
0
60.00-35.0%
0
0
65.00-29.6%
0
0
70.00-24.2%
0
0
75.00-18.8%
0
1
80.00-13.4%
0
16
85.00-7.9%
1
4
90.00-2.5%
20
0
95.002.9%
17
0
100.008.3%
55
0
105.0013.7%
10
0
110.0019.1%
1
0
115.0024.5%
0
0
120.0030.0%
0
0
125.0035.4%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.09× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.26 21 Aug 22d
0.20 18 Sep 50d
0.24 16 Oct 78d
0.24 15 Jan 169d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
148 / 148
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

54/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1023 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · otm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+76
1W price-0.5%
Call premium64%
Put premium36%
Notional split C 64% / P 36% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 16/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $558 estimated gross traded notional, and 55% of visible notional.
$558
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $365 estimated gross traded notional, and 36% of visible notional.
$365
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $100 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$100

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close92.34
1W-0.5%
RS0.4
Fair value+15.3%
Options pressure76
Speculation3
Volatility40
Trend fit16

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.4% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.20 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:50 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 8.1%
30 Jul 10:41 Bearish
Pressure -75
Move 6.2%
31 Jul 10:26 Bullish
Pressure 76
Move 5.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.20
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.09
Skew-0.21
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.12
Put IV0.24
Skew0.12
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.29
Skew0.01
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.29
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractOTTR260918C00095000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike95.00
Volume3
OI-
IV0.06
ContractOTTR260821C00095000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike95.00
Volume2
OI17
IV0.10
ContractOTTR270115P00085000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike85.00
Volume1
OI3
IV0.26
ContractOTTR270115C00095000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike95.00
Volume-
OI87
IV0.22
ContractOTTR261016C00095000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike95.00
Volume-
OI64
IV0.28
ContractOTTR260821C00100000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI55
IV0.31
ContractOTTR261016C00100000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI38
IV0.09
ContractOTTR270115P00095000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike95.00
Volume-
OI24
IV0.28