Ticker Options Intelligence

LOVE options intelligence

The Lovesac Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 00:23 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

LOVE currently carries bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 14.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 14.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 3.42

Put-side skew

Trend fit 53

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -1.5%

RS -4.0

Expected move 14.3%
Put-call volume 3.42
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 0.76
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 16.34
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 43

Research Brief

LOVE has a bearish chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 14.00–18.68; The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 15.00.

Priced range14.00–18.68
Call concentration17.50
Put concentration15.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 14.00 to 18.68. Max pain at 15.00 sits inside that range, 8.2% below spot.

Spot Max pain
14.0016.34 ± 2.3418.68
Confirmation level

A close beyond 18.68 or below 14.00 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 45/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure45 × 42%
+18.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation12 × 22%
+2.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement53 × 26%
+13.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility93 × 10%
+9.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 15.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
3
12.50-23.5%
0
12
15.00-8.2%
22
6
17.507.1%
4033
0
20.0022.4%
91
0
22.5037.7%
42
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.18× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.76 21 Aug 21d
0.63 18 Sep 49d
0.66 16 Oct 77d
0.64 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

15
18
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
43 / 43
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

72/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are both cautionary.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $40952 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a bearish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-45
1W price-1.5%
Call premium45%
Put premium55%
Notional split C 45% / P 55% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 53/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 27 contracts traded, $15068 estimated gross traded notional, and 37% of visible notional.
$15068
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 23 contracts traded, $8965 estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$8965
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 21 contracts traded, $7222 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$7222
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 155 contracts traded, $4682 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$4682
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 20 contracts traded, $1170 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$1170

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bearish pressure under fair value

Put pressure is building after the stock has already moved below fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close16.09
1W-1.5%
RS-4.0
Fair value-21.3%
Options pressure-45
Speculation12
Volatility93
Trend fit53

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 14.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.76 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 3.42 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:40 Bearish
Pressure -55
Move 5.5%
30 Jul 11:18 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 8.8%
30 Jul 18:08 Bearish
Pressure -40
Move 10.3%
31 Jul 11:43 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 14.2%
31 Jul 23:23 Bearish
Pressure -45
Move 14.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 3
Strike15.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 22
Puts · V 16 · OI 12
Strike17.50
Calls · V 3 · OI 4033
Puts · V 6 · OI 6
Strike20.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 91
Puts · V 15 · OI 0
Strike22.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 42
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts9
Avg IV0.76
Put-call4.75
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV0.63
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.66
Put-call3.87
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts14
Avg IV0.64
Put-call0.60

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.73
Skew0.23
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.59
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.59
Put IV0.65
Skew0.06
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.63
Put IV0.67
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractLOVE261016C00002500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI15
IV6.20
ContractLOVE270115P00020000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI11
IV0.79
ContractLOVE260918C00022500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI5
IV0.68
ContractLOVE270115P00022500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI4
IV0.60
ContractLOVE270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI1
IV2.13
ContractLOVE270115C00022500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI1
IV0.62
ContractLOVE270115C00025000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.62
ContractLOVE270115P00002500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.50