Ticker Options Intelligence

BIOA options intelligence

BioAge Labs, Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 68 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 13:24 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

BIOA currently carries volatility options pressure with a 68/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 23.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.43.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 23.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.43

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 4.28

Put-side skew

Trend fit 74

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -58.5%

RS -40.3

Expected move 23.0%
Put-call volume 4.28
Volume / OI 0.43
Reference IV 1.20
Max pain 22.50
Underlying 9.04
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 118

Research Brief

BIOA has a volatility chain read with 68/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 6.97–11.11; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 20.00. The most active strike by current volume is 20.00.

Priced range6.97–11.11
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration20.00
Max pain reference22.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 6.97 to 11.11. Max pain at 22.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
6.979.04 ± 2.0711.11
Confirmation level

A close beyond 11.11 or below 6.97 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 68/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 67/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure67 × 42%
+28.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation50 × 22%
+11.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement74 × 26%
+19.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score67.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 20.00. The most active strike by current volume is 20.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
162
10.0010.6%
0
914
12.5038.3%
11
170
15.0065.9%
449
88
17.5093.6%
0
6327
20.00121.2%
113
2000
22.50148.9%
4
3
25.00176.5%
48
0
30.00231.9%
70
0
35.00287.2%
4
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.05× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

1.20 21 Aug 21d
1.15 18 Sep 49d
1.21 16 Oct 77d
1.20 18 Dec 140d
1.14 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

10
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
118 / 118
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

95/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $7.7M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-67
1W price-58.5%
Call premium2%
Put premium98%
Notional split C 2% / P 98% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.43 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 74/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ITM
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 6455 contracts traded, $7.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 97% of visible notional.
$7.4M
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 861 contracts traded, $66104 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$66104
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 253 contracts traded, $62138 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$62138
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 1084 contracts traded, $49410 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$49410
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 707 contracts traded, $38618 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$38618

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close9.04
1W-58.5%
RS-40.3
Fair value-21.6%
Options pressure-67
Speculation50
Volatility96
Trend fit74

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 23.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.20 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 4.28 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.43 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:18 Volatility
Pressure -86
Move 45.0%
30 Jul 11:03 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 46.6%
31 Jul 09:33 Bearish
Pressure -24
Move 56.5%
31 Jul 11:04 Bearish
Pressure -70
Move 54.7%
1 Aug 01:03 Volatility
Pressure -67
Move 92.8%
2 Aug 12:24 Volatility
Pressure -67
Move 23.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike10.00
Calls · V 582 · OI 0
Puts · V 408 · OI 162
Strike12.50
Calls · V 35 · OI 11
Puts · V 18 · OI 914
Strike15.00
Calls · V 77 · OI 449
Puts · V 6 · OI 170
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 5 · OI 88
Strike20.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 113
Puts · V 4017 · OI 6327
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 2001 · OI 2000
Strike25.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 48
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike30.00
Calls · V 7 · OI 70
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV1.20
Put-call9.13
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV1.15
Put-call9.91
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV1.21
Put-call0.03
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV1.20
Put-call25.25
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts26
Avg IV1.14
Put-call0.21

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.23
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.94
Put IV0.88
Skew-0.06
16 Oct 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.02
Put IV0.23
Skew-0.79
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.44
Put IV1.16
Skew0.71
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.82
Skew0.42

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBIOA260821P00020000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume4017
OI6327
IV2.39
ContractBIOA260821P00022500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume2001
OI2000
IV3.62
ContractBIOA260918P00007500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume1052
OI40
IV0.88
ContractBIOA260821C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume582
OI-
IV1.11
ContractBIOA260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume408
OI162
IV1.03
ContractBIOA261016C00010000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume402
OI-
IV1.07
ContractBIOA270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume213
OI2
IV1.30
ContractBIOA261016C00017500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike17.50
Volume185
OI12
IV1.04