Ticker Options Intelligence

ECG options intelligence

Everus Construction Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 20:31 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ECG currently carries volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 16.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 16.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -3.5%

RS 6.7

Expected move 16.6%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.87
Max pain 130.00
Underlying 125.43
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 264

Research Brief

ECG has a volatility chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 104.58–146.28; The largest call open-interest concentration is 135.00; the largest put concentration is 130.00. The most active strike by current volume is 110.00.

Priced range104.58–146.28
Call concentration135.00
Put concentration130.00
Max pain reference130.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 104.58 to 146.28. Max pain at 130.00 sits inside that range, 3.6% above spot.

Spot Max pain
104.58125.43 ± 20.85146.28
Confirmation level

A close beyond 146.28 or below 104.58 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score53.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 135.00; the largest put concentration is 130.00. The most active strike by current volume is 110.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
22
95.00-24.3%
2
36
100.00-20.3%
5
47
105.00-16.3%
25
110
110.00-12.3%
12
117
115.00-8.3%
18
34
120.00-4.3%
22
0
125.00-0.3%
34
197
130.003.6%
45
3
135.007.6%
136
13
140.0011.6%
90
13
145.0015.6%
8
34
150.0019.6%
18
0
155.0023.6%
43
1
160.0027.6%
49
0
170.0035.5%
111
0
180.0043.5%
15
0
240.0091.3%
19
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.35× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.87 21 Aug 21d
0.70 18 Sep 49d
0.69 20 Nov 112d
0.64 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
264 / 264
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

91/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $32748 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-3.5%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 1 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 15 contracts traded, $28035 estimated gross traded notional, and 86% of visible notional.
$28035
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 14 contracts traded, $4712 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$4712

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close125.43
1W-3.5%
RS6.7
Fair value+45.0%
Options pressure100
Speculation8
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 16.6% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.87 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:32 Volatility
Pressure 60
Move 17.2%
30 Jul 10:30 Mixed
Pressure 7
Move 19.7%
31 Jul 10:21 Volatility
Pressure 77
Move 16.6%
31 Jul 21:43 Volatility
Pressure -32
Move 16.4%
1 Aug 04:19 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 16.4%
2 Aug 19:31 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 16.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.87
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.70
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts70
Avg IV0.69
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts66
Avg IV0.64
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.85
Put IV0.82
Skew-0.03
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.68
Put IV0.71
Skew0.03
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.68
Put IV0.70
Skew0.02
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.64
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractECG260821C00110000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike110.00
Volume12
OI12
IV0.91
ContractECG260918C00160000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike160.00
Volume10
OI17
IV0.68
ContractECG260821C00120000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike120.00
Volume3
OI22
IV0.90
ContractECG260918C00190000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike190.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.38
ContractECG260918C00130000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike130.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.75
ContractECG260918C00180000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike180.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.34
ContractECG260918C00175000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike175.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.73
ContractECG260821P00130000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike130.00
Volume-
OI197
IV0.83