Ticker Options Intelligence

HLNE options intelligence

Hamilton Lane Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 21:43 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

HLNE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 10.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 10.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.36

Call-side skew

Trend fit 14

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +6.9%

RS -29.7

Expected move 10.8%
Put-call volume 0.36
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.58
Max pain 85.00
Underlying 88.91
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 186

Research Brief

HLNE has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 79.33–98.49; The largest call open-interest concentration is 135.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00.

Priced range79.33–98.49
Call concentration135.00
Put concentration70.00
Max pain reference85.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 79.33 to 98.49. Max pain at 85.00 sits inside that range, 4.4% below spot.

Spot Max pain
79.3388.91 ± 9.5898.49
Confirmation level

A close beyond 98.49 or below 79.33 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 50/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure50 × 42%
+21.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation24 × 22%
+5.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement14 × 26%
+3.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility81 × 10%
+8.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score38.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 135.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
20
50.00-43.8%
0
17
55.00-38.1%
0
43
60.00-32.5%
1
28
65.00-26.9%
2
199
70.00-21.3%
0
21
75.00-15.6%
12
7
80.00-10.0%
7
29
85.00-4.4%
21
4
90.001.2%
14
3
95.006.8%
17
3
100.0012.5%
16
13
105.0018.1%
6
0
110.0023.7%
17
0
120.0035.0%
25
0
130.0046.2%
28
0
135.0051.8%
250
0
190.00113.7%
22
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$35,270Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak120.00+$13,986
Negative peak70.00-$7,166
Nearest balance85.73Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
40.00-55.0%
+$125
45.00-49.4%
+$0
50.00-43.8%
-$2,378
55.00-38.1%
-$3,322
60.00-32.5%
-$1,107
65.00-26.9%
-$1,498
70.00-21.3%
-$7,166
75.00-15.6%
+$2,068
80.00-10.0%
-$173
85.00-4.4%
-$873
90.001.2%
+$5,081
95.006.8%
+$3,904
100.0012.5%
+$13,026
105.0018.1%
+$972
110.0023.7%
+$3,917
115.0029.3%
+$229
120.0035.0%
+$13,986
125.0040.6%
+$150
130.0046.2%
+$6,128
135.0051.8%
+$1,730
140.0057.5%
+$35
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.11× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.58 21 Aug 21d
0.54 18 Sep 49d
0.53 20 Nov 112d
0.52 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

75
80
85
90
95
100
105
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
186 / 186
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

81/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $11,240 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · atm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+50
1W price+6.9%
Call premium87%
Put premium13%
Notional split C 87% / P 13% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 14/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 1 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ATM
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $5,075 estimated gross traded notional, and 45% of visible notional.
$5,075
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $4,090 estimated gross traded notional, and 36% of visible notional.
$4,090
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 3 contracts traded, $878 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$878
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $635 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$635
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $562 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$562

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close88.91
1W+6.9%
RS-29.7
Fair value-28.3%
Options pressure50
Speculation24
Volatility81
Trend fit14

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 10.8% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.58 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.36 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:41 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 13.9%
30 Jul 10:38 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 12.9%
31 Jul 10:24 Volatility
Pressure 87
Move 13.1%
31 Jul 15:33 Bullish
Pressure 25
Move 12.0%
31 Jul 16:51 Bullish
Pressure 20
Move 13.1%
1 Aug 03:09 Bullish
Pressure 21
Move 12.2%
1 Aug 03:26 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 12.2%
1 Aug 20:43 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 10.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 20
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 17
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 43
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 28
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 199
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 12
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 7
Puts · V 0 · OI 7

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.58
Put-call0.67
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.54
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV0.53
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.77
Put IV0.74
Skew-0.03
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.53
Skew-0.03
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.58
Skew0.11
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.56
Skew0.10

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractHLNE261120C00090000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike90.00
Volume5
OI27
IV0.52
ContractHLNE270219C00110000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike110.00
Volume4
OI-
IV0.50
ContractHLNE260821C00095000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike95.00
Volume3
OI17
IV0.47
ContractHLNE260918P00080000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike80.00
Volume3
OI1
IV0.53
ContractHLNE260821P00085000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume2
OI29
IV0.60
ContractHLNE270219C00100000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike100.00
Volume1
OI107
IV0.48
ContractHLNE261120C00110000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike110.00
Volume1
OI33
IV0.47
ContractHLNE260821C00135000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike135.00
Volume-
OI250
IV0.61