Ticker Options Intelligence

AVEX options intelligence

AEVEX Corp. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 11:32 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

AVEX currently carries volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 23.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.08.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 23.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.08

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.23

Call-side skew

Trend fit 30

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +16.4%

Sharemaestro weekly context

Expected move 23.5%
Put-call volume 0.23
Volume / OI 0.08
Reference IV 1.25
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 16.63
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 88

Research Brief

AVEX has a volatility chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 12.73–20.53; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 17.50. The most active strike by current volume is 22.50.

Priced range12.73–20.53
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration17.50
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 12.73 to 20.53. Max pain at 15.00 sits inside that range, 9.8% below spot.

Spot Max pain
12.7316.63 ± 3.9020.53
Confirmation level

A close beyond 20.53 or below 12.73 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 70/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure70 × 42%
+29.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation11 × 22%
+2.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement30 × 26%
+7.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score49.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 17.50. The most active strike by current volume is 22.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
2.50-85.0%
0
10
7.50-54.9%
0
112
10.00-39.9%
24
777
12.50-24.8%
140
606
15.00-9.8%
1119
857
17.505.2%
620
97
20.0020.3%
949
53
22.5035.3%
655
21
25.0050.3%
685
0
30.0080.4%
341
9
35.00110.5%
72
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.16× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.25 21 Aug 21d
1.17 18 Sep 49d
1.11 16 Oct 77d
1.07 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

15
18
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes99%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
88 / 88
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

89/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $520050 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+70
1W price+16.4%
Call premium49%
Put premium51%
Notional split C 49% / P 51% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.08 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 30/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · ITM
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 84 contracts traded, $152695 estimated gross traded notional, and 29% of visible notional.
$152695
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 500 contracts traded, $77525 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$77525
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 695 contracts traded, $64515 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$64515
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 40 contracts traded, $58655 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$58655
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 85 contracts traded, $58425 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$58425

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close16.63
1W+16.4%
RS-
Fair value-26.3%
Options pressure70
Speculation11
Volatility96
Trend fit30

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 23.5% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.25 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.23 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.08 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:00 Volatility
Pressure 65
Move 23.1%
30 Jul 10:49 Volatility
Pressure 64
Move 22.6%
31 Jul 12:56 Volatility
Pressure 92
Move 24.3%
2 Aug 10:32 Volatility
Pressure 70
Move 23.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 10
Strike10.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 24
Puts · V 3 · OI 112
Strike12.50
Calls · V 14 · OI 140
Puts · V 12 · OI 777
Strike15.00
Calls · V 28 · OI 1119
Puts · V 52 · OI 606
Strike17.50
Calls · V 258 · OI 620
Puts · V 25 · OI 857
Strike20.00
Calls · V 117 · OI 949
Puts · V 1 · OI 97
Strike22.50
Calls · V 284 · OI 655
Puts · V 2 · OI 53

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts19
Avg IV1.25
Put-call0.15
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV1.17
Put-call0.09
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV1.11
Put-call1.63
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts29
Avg IV1.07
Put-call0.09

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.23
Put IV1.17
Skew-0.06
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.17
Put IV1.07
Skew-0.10
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.08
Put IV1.04
Skew-0.04
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV1.05
Put IV1.05
Skew0.00

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAVEX261016P00045000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI145
IV0.00
ContractAVEX270115P00045000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI6
IV1.24
ContractAVEX270115P00055000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.31
ContractAVEX261016P00050000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike50.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.00
ContractAVEX260821P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI1
IV4.09
ContractAVEX260918P00020000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.24
ContractAVEX261016C00007500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI1
IV1.08
ContractAVEX260918P00007500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI1
IV1.93