Primary read
Bullish
Call-side pressure
Ticker Options Intelligence
OMC options intelligence
Omnicom Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
41
Market data through 31 Jul 2026
Checked 1 Aug 2026 10:23 · complete available chain
Call-side pressure
Bullish pressure
OMC currently carries bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.
Expected move
6.4%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.03
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.12
Call-side skew
Trend fit
0
Options are not fully confirming trend
Weekly backdrop
-2.5%
RS -2.1
Expected move
6.4%
Put-call volume
0.12
Volume / OI
0.03
Reference IV
0.33
Max pain
80.00
Underlying
79.66
Nearest expiry
21 Aug 2026
Contracts
508
Research Brief
OMC has a bullish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 74.56–84.76; The largest call open-interest concentration is 90.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00.
Priced range74.56–84.76
Call concentration90.00
Put concentration70.00
Max pain reference80.00
- Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
- Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
- Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 74.56 to 84.76. Max pain at 80.00 sits inside that range, 0.4% above spot.
Spot
Max pain
74.5679.66 ± 5.1084.76
Confirmation level
A close beyond 84.76 or below 74.56 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 41/100
Pressure is 76/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure76 × 42%
+32.1
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation19 × 22%
+4.2
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility49 × 10%
+4.9
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 90.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
3
55.00-31.0%
3
33
60.00-24.7%
0
6
65.00-18.4%
2
7
67.50-15.3%
0
1397
70.00-12.1%
8
109
72.50-9.0%
65
128
75.00-5.8%
36
81
77.50-2.7%
571
200
80.000.4%
125
67
82.503.6%
159
66
85.006.7%
762
532
87.509.8%
956
21
90.0013.0%
976
1
92.5016.1%
158
0
95.0019.3%
368
0
100.0025.5%
20
0
105.0031.8%
50
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Volatility Curve
Balanced volatility curve
Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.
0.33
21 Aug
21d
0.34
18 Sep
49d
0.31
16 Oct
77d
0.32
20 Nov
112d
0.33
18 Dec
140d
0.31
15 Jan
168d
0.33
19 Mar
231d
0.34
17 Jun
321d
Volatility by Strike
Balanced wings
Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.
65
68
70
73
75
78
80
83
85
88
90
93
95
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.
Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
- Versioned calculationv2 observations only
- Independent entryone read per market session
- Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
- Matched expiry closereported only after maturity
Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
High
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 31 Jul 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 508 / 508
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Short-dated OTM call concentration
Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.
Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.
Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $110349 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+76
1W price-2.5%
Call premium94%
Put premium6%
Notional split
C 94% / P 6%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.03
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
0/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 238 contracts traded, $86870 estimated gross traded notional, and 79% of visible notional.
$86870
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM
calls cluster with 205 contracts traded, $8386 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$8386
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
calls cluster with 59 contracts traded, $5112 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$5112
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM
calls cluster with 7 contracts traded, $2695 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$2695
Puts · 91+ days · OTM
puts cluster with 12 contracts traded, $2210 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$2210
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.
Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.
Activity Anomaly
Warming up
3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.
Baseline: 3 completed sessions
Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close79.66
1W-2.5%
RS-2.1
Fair value+1.3%
Options pressure76
Speculation19
Volatility49
Trend fit0
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:18
Bullish
Pressure 42
Move 12.0%
30 Jul 10:13
Bearish
Pressure -79
Move 7.9%
30 Jul 23:35
Bullish
Pressure 25
Move 6.3%
31 Jul 15:52
Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 6.1%
31 Jul 19:55
Bullish
Pressure 33
Move 6.1%
1 Aug 09:23
Bullish
Pressure 76
Move 6.4%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 33
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike67.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 8
Puts · V 29 · OI 1397
Strike72.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 65
Puts · V 8 · OI 109
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 36
Puts · V 0 · OI 128
Strike77.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 571
Puts · V 0 · OI 81
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.18
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.34
Put-call0.12
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.33
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.01
Skew
Call/put IV balance
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.36
Skew0.06
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.38
Skew0.07
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.39
Skew0.11
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.39
Skew0.09
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.37
Skew0.07
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractOMC261218C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike85.00
Volume238
OI176
IV0.29
ContractOMC260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume70
OI762
IV0.34
ContractOMC260821C00090000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike90.00
Volume67
OI976
IV0.37
ContractOMC260821C00087500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike87.50
Volume66
OI956
IV0.35
ContractOMC260918C00087500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike87.50
Volume55
OI24
IV0.30
ContractOMC260821P00070000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume29
OI1397
IV0.42
ContractOMC260821P00072500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike72.50
Volume8
OI109
IV0.37
ContractOMC261016C00080000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike80.00
Volume7
OI67
IV0.29
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
No upcoming matched earnings event.
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.