Ticker Options Intelligence

SKYH options intelligence

Sky Harbour Group Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 18:04 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

SKYH currently carries volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 12.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 12.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.10

Call-side skew

Trend fit 2

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.1%

RS 1.6

Expected move 12.3%
Put-call volume 0.10
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 1.06
Max pain 10.00
Underlying 10.18
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 35

Research Brief

SKYH has a volatility chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 8.93–11.43; The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 8.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00.

Priced range8.93–11.43
Call concentration10.00
Put concentration8.00
Max pain reference10.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 8.93 to 11.43. Max pain at 10.00 sits inside that range, 1.8% below spot.

Spot Max pain
8.9310.18 ± 1.2511.43
Confirmation level

A close beyond 11.43 or below 8.93 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 92/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure92 × 42%
+38.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation17 × 22%
+3.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement2 × 26%
+0.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score52.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 8.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
300
8.00-21.4%
0
21
9.00-11.6%
2
32
10.00-1.8%
103
45
11.008.1%
7
0
13.0027.7%
10
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.19× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.06 21 Aug 21d
0.54 18 Sep 49d
0.71 16 Oct 77d
0.48 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

9
10
11
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
35 / 35
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

85/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $76396 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+92
1W price+5.1%
Call premium96%
Put premium4%
Notional split C 96% / P 4% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 2/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 11 Aug Matched earnings event is 9 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 324 contracts traded, $65610 estimated gross traded notional, and 86% of visible notional.
$65610
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 13 contracts traded, $3450 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$3450
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $1402 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$1402
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 3 contracts traded, $1260 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$1260
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $925 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$925

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close10.70
1W+5.1%
RS1.6
Fair value+6.4%
Options pressure92
Speculation17
Volatility96
Trend fit2

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 12.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.06 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.10 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:19 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 11.3%
30 Jul 11:04 Volatility
Pressure 71
Move 13.9%
30 Jul 17:11 Volatility
Pressure 92
Move 12.8%
30 Jul 18:33 Volatility
Pressure 92
Move 12.8%
31 Jul 17:04 Volatility
Pressure 92
Move 12.3%
1 Aug 23:20 Bullish
Pressure 48
Move 10.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike8.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 300
Strike9.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 2
Puts · V 2 · OI 21
Strike10.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 103
Puts · V 1 · OI 32
Strike11.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 7
Puts · V 5 · OI 45
Strike13.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV1.06
Put-call0.28
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts1
Avg IV0.54
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts10
Avg IV0.71
Put-call3.00
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts16
Avg IV0.48
Put-call0.05

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.63
Put IV0.57
Skew-0.06
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.54
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.70
Put IV0.54
Skew-0.16
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.55
Put IV0.59
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractSKYH260821P00008000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike8.00
Volume-
OI300
IV1.59
ContractSKYH261016C00013000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike13.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.96
ContractSKYH261016C00011000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike11.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.70
ContractSKYH261016P00011000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike11.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.76
ContractSKYH261016P00012000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike12.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.59
ContractSKYH270115C00017500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike17.50
Volume100
OI82
IV1.05
ContractSKYH270115C00015000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike15.00
Volume75
OI200
IV0.88
ContractSKYH270115C00022500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike22.50
Volume75
OI197
IV1.25