Ticker Options Intelligence

PB options intelligence

Prosperity Bancshares Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 46 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 15:36 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

PB currently carries bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +2.4%

RS 1.2

Expected move 4.7%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.18
Max pain 70.00
Underlying 74.87
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 112

Research Brief

PB has a bullish chain read with 46/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 71.35–78.39; The largest call open-interest concentration is 75.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 75.00.

Priced range71.35–78.39
Call concentration75.00
Put concentration70.00
Max pain reference70.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 71.35 to 78.39. Max pain at 70.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
71.3574.87 ± 3.5278.39
Confirmation level

A close beyond 78.39 or below 71.35 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 46/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility31 × 10%
+3.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score45.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 75.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 75.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
40.00-46.6%
0
0
45.00-39.9%
0
1
50.00-33.2%
0
0
55.00-26.5%
0
0
60.00-19.9%
0
5
65.00-13.2%
0
85
70.00-6.5%
1
0
75.000.2%
14
0
80.006.9%
1
0
85.0013.5%
0
0
90.0020.2%
0
0
95.0026.9%
0
0
100.0033.6%
0
0
105.0040.2%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.65× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.18 21 Aug 21d
0.18 18 Sep 49d
0.28 18 Dec 140d
0.28 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

60
65
70
75
80
85
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
112 / 112
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

34/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $975 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · atm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+2.4%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ATM
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $975 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$975

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close74.87
1W+2.4%
RS1.2
Fair value+15.7%
Options pressure100
Speculation3
Volatility31
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.18 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 0/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 0/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 0/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:33 Bearish
Pressure -89
Move 7.0%
30 Jul 10:31 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 5.5%
31 Jul 10:21 Bearish
Pressure -89
Move 5.0%
1 Aug 14:36 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 4.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 85
Strike75.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 14
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.18
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.18
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.28
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts28
Avg IV0.28
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.12
Put IV0.13
Skew0.01
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.07
Put IV0.08
Skew0.01
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.36
Skew0.12
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.32
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractPB260821C00075000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume6
OI14
IV0.22
ContractPB260918C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI2800
IV0.14
ContractPB260918C00075000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI342
IV0.20
ContractPB261218C00080000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI163
IV0.24
ContractPB260821P00070000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI85
IV0.13
ContractPB260918P00065000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI57
IV0.16
ContractPB261218C00070000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI51
IV0.24
ContractPB260918P00040000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike40.00
Volume-
OI47
IV0.62