Ticker Options Intelligence

RBCAA options intelligence

Republic Bancorp Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 05:03 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

RBCAA currently carries bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 3.9%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 1

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +6.3%

RS 23.2

Expected move 3.9%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.16
Max pain 40.00
Underlying 99.54
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 112

Research Brief

RBCAA has a bullish chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 95.69–103.39; The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.

Priced range95.69–103.39
Call concentration85.00
Put concentration40.00
Max pain reference40.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 95.69 to 103.39. Max pain at 40.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
95.6999.54 ± 3.85103.39
Confirmation level

A close beyond 103.39 or below 95.69 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement1 × 26%
+0.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility27 × 10%
+2.7

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
40.00-59.8%
0
0
45.00-54.8%
0
0
50.00-49.8%
0
0
55.00-44.7%
0
0
60.00-39.7%
0
0
65.00-34.7%
0
0
70.00-29.7%
5
0
75.00-24.7%
1
0
80.00-19.6%
0
0
85.00-14.6%
8
0
90.00-9.6%
1
0
95.00-4.6%
0
0
100.000.5%
0
0
105.005.5%
0
0
110.0010.5%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.60× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.16 21 Aug 21d
0.20 18 Sep 49d
0.24 20 Nov 112d
0.27 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

80
85
90
95
100
105
110
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
112 / 112
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

33/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $345 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+6.3%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 1/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $345 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$345

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close99.54
1W+6.3%
RS23.2
Fair value+59.8%
Options pressure100
Speculation0
Volatility27
Trend fit1

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.9% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.16 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:06 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 5.9%
30 Jul 10:54 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 6.2%
31 Jul 11:00 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 5.6%
31 Jul 13:53 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 10.1%
1 Aug 05:52 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 5.4%
2 Aug 04:03 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 3.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.16
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.20
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts28
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.01
Put IV0.09
Skew0.08
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.06
Put IV0.06
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.27
Skew0.03
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.30
Skew0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRBCAA261120C00105000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike105.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.24
ContractRBCAA270219C00100000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI100
IV0.26
ContractRBCAA270219C00105000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike105.00
Volume-
OI100
IV0.24
ContractRBCAA261120C00100000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI100
IV0.26
ContractRBCAA261120C00080000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.37
ContractRBCAA260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI8
IV0.44
ContractRBCAA261120P00050000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike50.00
Volume-
OI8
IV0.44
ContractRBCAA260821C00070000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI5
IV0.78