Ticker Options Intelligence

HG options intelligence

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 51 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 04:40 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

HG currently carries bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 10.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 10.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 1

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.5%

RS 23.3

Expected move 10.0%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.40
Max pain 20.00
Underlying 36.16
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 96

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

76/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $15682 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+3.5%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 1/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 6 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · OTM
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 139 contracts traded, $4865 estimated gross traded notional, and 31% of visible notional.
$4865
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 17 contracts traded, $3952 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$3952
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $3260 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$3260
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $2810 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$2810
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $705 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$705

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

17

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank0th
Volume/OI rank0th
IV rank50th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close36.16
1W+3.5%
RS23.3
Fair value+77.2%
Options pressure100
Speculation9
Volatility68
Trend fit1

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 10.0% near normal
30d avg 11.6% · 2 reads 50th
90d avg 11.6% · 2 reads 50th
180d avg 11.6% · 2 reads 50th
IV 0.40 near normal
30d avg 0.46 · 2 reads 50th
90d avg 0.46 · 2 reads 50th
180d avg 0.46 · 2 reads 50th
Put-call 0.00 muted
30d avg 0.02 · 2 reads 0th
90d avg 0.02 · 2 reads 0th
180d avg 0.02 · 2 reads 0th
Volume/OI 0.04 muted
30d avg 0.31 · 2 reads 0th
90d avg 0.31 · 2 reads 0th
180d avg 0.31 · 2 reads 0th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:54 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 9.7%
29 Jul 22:06 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 13.5%
30 Jul 03:40 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 10.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 13
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 17 · OI 77
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 139 · OI 1446
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.40
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.27
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts36
Avg IV0.34
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.10
Skew-0.27
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.10
Put IV0.07
Skew-0.03
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.72
Skew0.30
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.39
Skew0.11

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractHG260821C00040000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume139
OI1446
IV0.38
ContractHG260821C00035000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike35.00
Volume17
OI77
IV0.38
ContractHG261016C00038000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike38.00
Volume3
OI-
IV0.41
ContractHG270115C00023000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike23.00
Volume2
OI212
IV0.37
ContractHG261016C00028000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike28.00
Volume2
OI43
IV0.48
ContractHG261016C00030000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike30.00
Volume2
OI7
IV0.36
ContractHG270115C00045000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike45.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.12
ContractHG261016C00015500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike15.50
Volume-
OI406
IV0.83