Ticker Options Intelligence

FIP options intelligence

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 33 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 14:39 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

FIP currently carries bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 24.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.21.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 24.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.21

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.43

Call-side skew

Trend fit 31

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -11.8%

RS -31.0

Expected move 24.6%
Put-call volume 0.43
Volume / OI 0.21
Reference IV 0.19
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 4.23
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 52

Research Brief

FIP has a bullish chain read with 33/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 3.19–5.27; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 4.00. The most active strike by current volume is 4.00.

Priced range3.19–5.27
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration4.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 3.19 to 5.27. Max pain at 5.00 sits inside that range, 18.2% above spot.

Spot Max pain
3.194.23 ± 1.045.27
Confirmation level

A close beyond 5.27 or below 3.19 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 33/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 37/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure37 × 42%
+15.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation21 × 22%
+4.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement31 × 26%
+8.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility53 × 10%
+5.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score33.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 4.00. The most active strike by current volume is 4.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
2850
4.00-5.4%
0
209
5.0018.2%
568
0
6.0041.8%
3
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.43× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.19 21 Aug 21d
0.00 18 Sep 49d
0.95 16 Oct 77d
0.46 18 Dec 140d
0.76 15 Jan 168d
0.44 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

4
5
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
52 / 52
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

70/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $103814 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+37
1W price-11.8%
Call premium46%
Put premium54%
Notional split C 46% / P 54% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.21 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 31/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1300 contracts traded, $38012 estimated gross traded notional, and 37% of visible notional.
$38012
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 102 contracts traded, $24274 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$24274
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 71 contracts traded, $11305 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$11305
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 40 contracts traded, $8328 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$8328
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 207 contracts traded, $8280 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$8280

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close3.73
1W-11.8%
RS-31.0
Fair value-33.7%
Options pressure37
Speculation21
Volatility53
Trend fit31

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 24.6% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.19 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.43 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.21 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:25 Volatility
Pressure -97
Move 16.0%
30 Jul 11:11 Volatility
Pressure -100
Move 19.6%
30 Jul 15:13 Bullish
Pressure 36
Move 24.0%
30 Jul 15:48 Bullish
Pressure 36
Move 24.0%
30 Jul 17:23 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 24.0%
30 Jul 19:57 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 24.0%
30 Jul 21:40 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 24.0%
31 Jul 13:31 Mixed
Pressure -11
Move 16.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike4.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 207 · OI 2850
Strike5.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 568
Puts · V 25 · OI 209
Strike6.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV0.19
Put-call46.40
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV0.00
Put-call1.00
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.95
Put-call10.43
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts11
Avg IV0.46
Put-call0.01
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts12
Avg IV0.76
Put-call1.28

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.02
Skew-0.23
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.01
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.13
Put IV0.01
Skew-0.12
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.13
Put IV0.01
Skew-0.12
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV2.40
Put IV0.01
Skew-2.39

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractFIP261016C00004000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike4.00
Volume-
OI76
IV0.00
ContractFIP261218C00004000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike4.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.96
ContractFIP270115C00006000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike6.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.18
ContractFIP261016P00012000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike12.00
Volume-
OI1
IV2.86
ContractFIP261016C00009000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike9.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.50
ContractFIP261218C00002000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike2.00
Volume-
OI-
IV1.21
ContractFIP261016P00011000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike11.00
Volume-
OI-
IV2.76
ContractFIP261218C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike10.00
Volume1000
OI1002
IV0.50