Ticker Options Intelligence

GATX options intelligence

GATX Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 55 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 22:48 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

GATX currently carries bearish options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.30.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 5.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.30

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.86

Put-side skew

Trend fit 91

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -3.1%

RS -5.1

Expected move 5.7%
Put-call volume 2.86
Volume / OI 0.30
Reference IV 0.51
Max pain 185.00
Underlying 184.63
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 67

Research Brief

GATX has a bearish chain read with 55/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 174.08–195.18; The largest call open-interest concentration is 185.00; the largest put concentration is 150.00. The most active strike by current volume is 150.00.

Priced range174.08–195.18
Call concentration185.00
Put concentration150.00
Max pain reference185.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 174.08 to 195.18. Max pain at 185.00 sits inside that range, 0.2% above spot.

Spot Max pain
174.08184.63 ± 10.55195.18
Confirmation level

A close beyond 195.18 or below 174.08 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 55/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 45/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure45 × 42%
+19.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation31 × 22%
+6.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement91 × 26%
+23.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility59 × 10%
+5.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score55.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 185.00; the largest put concentration is 150.00. The most active strike by current volume is 150.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
2
150.00-18.8%
0
1
155.00-16.0%
0
2
175.00-5.2%
0
2
180.00-2.5%
0
1
185.000.2%
3
0
195.005.6%
1
0
210.0013.7%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.27× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.51 21 Aug 21d
0.35 18 Sep 49d
0.32 18 Dec 140d
0.40 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

150
155
175
180
185
195
210
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A95/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
67 / 67
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

75/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are both cautionary.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $498412 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a bearish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-45
1W price-3.1%
Call premium10%
Put premium90%
Notional split C 10% / P 90% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.30 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 91/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 138 contracts traded, $429980 estimated gross traded notional, and 86% of visible notional.
$429980
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $17925 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$17925
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 36 contracts traded, $17702 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$17702
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $13465 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$13465
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $10530 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$10530

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close178.87
1W-3.1%
RS-5.1
Fair value+22.1%
Options pressure-45
Speculation31
Volatility59
Trend fit91

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.51 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.86 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:36 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 7.1%
30 Jul 07:48 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 6.6%
31 Jul 13:30 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 5.5%
31 Jul 13:57 Bearish
Pressure -43
Move 5.3%
31 Jul 18:27 Bearish
Pressure -45
Move 6.9%
31 Jul 21:48 Bearish
Pressure -45
Move 5.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike150.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 2
Strike155.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 1
Strike175.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike180.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 2
Strike185.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike195.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike210.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV0.51
Put-call3.00
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.35
Put-call1.24
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.32
Put-call3.51
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts5
Avg IV0.40
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.61
Put IV0.38
Skew-0.23
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.32
Skew-0.05
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.30
Skew-0.02
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.50
Skew0.19

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractGATX270319C00180000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike180.00
Volume-
OI40
IV0.33
ContractGATX261218C00195000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike195.00
Volume-
OI7
IV0.33
ContractGATX261218P00210000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike210.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.45
ContractGATX270319C00170000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike170.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.34
ContractGATX260821P00175000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike175.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.38
ContractGATX260821C00210000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike210.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.64
ContractGATX260918C00180000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike180.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.32
ContractGATX260918P00180000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike180.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.32