Ticker Options Intelligence

ALG options intelligence

Alamo Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 30 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:34 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ALG currently carries bullish options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 7.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.50

Call-side skew

Trend fit 41

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.8%

RS -15.3

Expected move 7.8%
Put-call volume 0.50
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.32
Max pain 165.00
Underlying 165.35
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 216

Research Brief

ALG has a bullish chain read with 30/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 152.50–178.20; The largest call open-interest concentration is 150.00; the largest put concentration is 165.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00.

Priced range152.50–178.20
Call concentration150.00
Put concentration165.00
Max pain reference165.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 152.50 to 178.20. Max pain at 165.00 sits inside that range, 0.2% below spot.

Spot Max pain
152.50165.35 ± 12.85178.20
Confirmation level

A close beyond 178.20 or below 152.50 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 30/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 30/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure30 × 42%
+12.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement41 × 26%
+10.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility54 × 10%
+5.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score30.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 150.00; the largest put concentration is 165.00. The most active strike by current volume is 95.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
95.00-42.5%
0
0
100.00-39.5%
0
0
105.00-36.5%
0
0
110.00-33.5%
0
0
115.00-30.5%
0
0
120.00-27.4%
0
0
125.00-24.4%
0
0
130.00-21.4%
0
0
135.00-18.4%
0
0
140.00-15.3%
0
2
145.00-12.3%
0
0
150.00-9.3%
1
0
155.00-6.3%
0
95
165.00-0.2%
0
0
170.002.8%
1
0
185.0011.9%
1
0
200.0021.0%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.00× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.32 21 Aug 22d
0.33 18 Sep 50d
0.32 18 Dec 141d
0.32 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
185
190
195
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
216 / 216
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

68/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1518 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+30
1W price+1.8%
Call premium82%
Put premium18%
Notional split C 82% / P 18% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 41/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $1250 estimated gross traded notional, and 82% of visible notional.
$1250
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $268 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$268

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close165.35
1W+1.8%
RS-15.3
Fair value-10.5%
Options pressure30
Speculation8
Volatility54
Trend fit41

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.8% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.32 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.50 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:02 Bullish
Pressure 96
Move 8.0%
30 Jul 10:51 Bullish
Pressure 29
Move 8.4%
31 Jul 10:34 Bullish
Pressure 30
Move 7.8%
1 Aug 09:58 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 7.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike115.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike120.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike130.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts50
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.12
Put IV0.38
Skew0.25
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.34
Put IV0.37
Skew0.03
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.36
Skew0.06
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.35
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractALG261218C00175000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike175.00
Volume2
OI-
IV0.30
ContractALG260918P00140000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike140.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.41
ContractALG260821P00165000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike165.00
Volume-
OI95
IV0.40
ContractALG260918C00160000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike160.00
Volume-
OI56
IV0.35
ContractALG260918P00100000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI23
IV0.42
ContractALG260918C00170000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike170.00
Volume-
OI22
IV0.32
ContractALG260918P00125000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike125.00
Volume-
OI7
IV0.23
ContractALG260918P00135000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike135.00
Volume-
OI7
IV0.16