Ticker Options Intelligence

DMLP options intelligence

Dorchester Minerals LP options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 57 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 10:38 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

DMLP currently carries volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 14.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.50.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 14.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.50

Current volume is elevated versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.05

Call-side skew

Trend fit 6

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.6%

RS 2.7

Expected move 14.8%
Put-call volume 0.05
Volume / OI 0.50
Reference IV 0.47
Max pain 25.00
Underlying 27.61
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 66

Research Brief

DMLP has a volatility chain read with 57/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 23.52–31.70; The largest call open-interest concentration is 30.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00.

Priced range23.52–31.70
Call concentration30.00
Put concentration25.00
Max pain reference25.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 23.52 to 31.70. Max pain at 25.00 sits inside that range, 9.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
23.5227.61 ± 4.0931.70
Confirmation level

A close beyond 31.70 or below 23.52 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 57/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 88/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure88 × 42%
+37.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation52 × 22%
+11.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement6 × 26%
+1.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility73 × 10%
+7.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score57.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 30.00; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
12.50-54.7%
6
0
15.00-45.7%
9
6
17.50-36.6%
0
7
20.00-27.6%
0
60
22.50-18.5%
9
72
25.00-9.5%
101
46
30.008.7%
246
0
35.0026.8%
0
0
40.0044.9%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.15× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.47 21 Aug 21d
0.32 18 Sep 49d
0.22 20 Nov 112d
0.22 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

23
25
30
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
66 / 66
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

84/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $419865 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+88
1W price-0.6%
Call premium99%
Put premium1%
Notional split C 99% / P 1% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.50 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 6/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 485 contracts traded, $250962 estimated gross traded notional, and 60% of visible notional.
$250962
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 521 contracts traded, $166245 estimated gross traded notional, and 40% of visible notional.
$166245
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 50 contracts traded, $2625 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$2625
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $22 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$22
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $10 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$10

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close27.61
1W-0.6%
RS2.7
Fair value+9.9%
Options pressure88
Speculation52
Volatility73
Trend fit6

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 14.8% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.47 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.50 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:09 Bullish
Pressure 31
Move 17.5%
30 Jul 10:56 Volatility
Pressure -87
Move 17.8%
31 Jul 12:58 Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 15.6%
1 Aug 09:38 Volatility
Pressure 88
Move 14.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.50
Calls · V 65 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike15.00
Calls · V 60 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike22.50
Calls · V 55 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 60
Strike25.00
Calls · V 305 · OI 101
Puts · V 1 · OI 72
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 246
Puts · V 0 · OI 46
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.47
Put-call0.00
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.32
Put-call50.00
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.22
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts16
Avg IV0.22
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.17
Put IV0.42
Skew0.25
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.10
Put IV0.40
Skew0.29
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.06
Put IV0.09
Skew0.03
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.04
Put IV0.37
Skew0.32

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractDMLP260821C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume305
OI101
IV0.01
ContractDMLP261120C00025000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike25.00
Volume275
OI164
IV0.01
ContractDMLP270219C00025000
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike25.00
Volume125
OI5
IV0.01
ContractDMLP270219C00022500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike22.50
Volume75
OI23
IV0.01
ContractDMLP260821C00012500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume65
OI6
IV0.01
ContractDMLP260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume60
OI9
IV0.01
ContractDMLP260821C00022500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume55
OI9
IV0.01
ContractDMLP260918P00025000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume50
OI31
IV0.40