Ticker Options Intelligence

HII options intelligence

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 42 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 13:52 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

HII currently carries bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 14.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 14.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.26

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +13.5%

RS -9.5

Expected move 14.4%
Put-call volume 0.26
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.49
Max pain 300.00
Underlying 287.59
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 342

Research Brief

HII has a bullish chain read with 42/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 246.27–328.91; The largest call open-interest concentration is 330.00; the largest put concentration is 270.00. The most active strike by current volume is 300.00.

Priced range246.27–328.91
Call concentration330.00
Put concentration270.00
Max pain reference300.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 246.27 to 328.91. Max pain at 300.00 sits inside that range, 4.3% above spot.

Spot Max pain
246.27287.59 ± 41.32328.91
Confirmation level

A close beyond 328.91 or below 246.27 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 42/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 61/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure61 × 42%
+25.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility74 × 10%
+7.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score42.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 330.00; the largest put concentration is 270.00. The most active strike by current volume is 300.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
27
220.00-23.5%
0
23
230.00-20.0%
2
61
240.00-16.5%
1
72
250.00-13.1%
2
57
260.00-9.6%
8
136
270.00-6.1%
8
78
280.00-2.6%
35
43
290.000.8%
27
68
300.004.3%
86
51
310.007.8%
60
11
320.0011.3%
40
8
330.0014.7%
114
2
340.0018.2%
41
8
350.0021.7%
22
5
360.0025.2%
52
0
370.0028.7%
15
0
400.0039.1%
32
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.28× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.49 21 Aug 21d
0.37 18 Sep 49d
0.38 18 Dec 140d
0.38 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

240
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
320
330
340
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
342 / 342
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

90/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $321083 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+61
1W price+13.5%
Call premium94%
Put premium6%
Notional split C 94% / P 6% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 61 contracts traded, $81815 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$81815
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 27 contracts traded, $77509 estimated gross traded notional, and 24% of visible notional.
$77509
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 51 contracts traded, $63172 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$63172
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $59455 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$59455
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $21100 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$21100

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close326.45
1W+13.5%
RS-9.5
Fair value+24.6%
Options pressure61
Speculation41
Volatility74
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 14.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.49 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:24 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 11.4%
30 Jul 07:51 Bullish
Pressure 27
Move 10.9%
31 Jul 07:23 Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 12.4%
31 Jul 15:30 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 10.9%
1 Aug 12:52 Bullish
Pressure 61
Move 14.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike180.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike185.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike190.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike195.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike200.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike210.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike220.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 27
Strike230.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 23

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts96
Avg IV0.49
Put-call0.39
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts90
Avg IV0.37
Put-call0.05
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts90
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.54
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts66
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.09

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.53
Skew0.23
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.40
Skew0.08
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.39
Skew0.03
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.40
Skew0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractHII260918C00360000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike360.00
Volume20
OI41
IV0.32
ContractHII260821C00300000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike300.00
Volume14
OI86
IV0.41
ContractHII260918C00340000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike340.00
Volume14
OI21
IV0.32
ContractHII260821C00350000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike350.00
Volume12
OI22
IV0.30
ContractHII260918C00300000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike300.00
Volume11
OI137
IV0.34
ContractHII261218P00160000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike160.00
Volume10
OI3
IV0.37
ContractHII260821P00320000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike320.00
Volume8
OI11
IV0.32
ContractHII260821C00320000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike320.00
Volume7
OI40
IV0.36