Ticker Options Intelligence

DFTX options intelligence

Definium Therapeutics, Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 16:06 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

DFTX currently carries bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 23.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 23.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.68

Call-side skew

Trend fit 84

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.8%

RS 114.5

Expected move 23.4%
Put-call volume 0.68
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 1.20
Max pain 40.00
Underlying 43.52
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 454

Research Brief

DFTX has a bullish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 33.32–53.72; The largest call open-interest concentration is 60.00; the largest put concentration is 35.00. The most active strike by current volume is 45.00.

Priced range33.32–53.72
Call concentration60.00
Put concentration35.00
Max pain reference40.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 33.32 to 53.72. Max pain at 40.00 sits inside that range, 8.1% below spot.

Spot Max pain
33.3243.52 ± 10.2053.72
Confirmation level

A close beyond 53.72 or below 33.32 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 26/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure26 × 42%
+11.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation7 × 22%
+1.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement84 × 26%
+21.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 60.00; the largest put concentration is 35.00. The most active strike by current volume is 45.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
686
30.00-31.1%
49
2336
35.00-19.6%
27
148
36.00-17.3%
34
388
37.00-15.0%
83
116
38.00-12.7%
70
183
39.00-10.4%
1
2268
40.00-8.1%
4123
205
43.00-1.2%
85
385
44.001.1%
320
865
45.003.4%
859
212
47.008.0%
161
115
48.0010.3%
603
38
49.0012.6%
198
61
50.0014.9%
3643
113
55.0026.4%
1678
1
60.0037.9%
5036
0
70.0060.8%
305
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.61× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.20 21 Aug 21d
1.10 18 Sep 49d
0.86 18 Dec 140d
0.82 15 Jan 168d
0.80 19 Mar 231d
0.75 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
454 / 454
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

72/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $637770 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+26
1W price+0.8%
Call premium48%
Put premium52%
Notional split C 48% / P 52% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 84/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 187 contracts traded, $274670 estimated gross traded notional, and 43% of visible notional.
$274670
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 373 contracts traded, $143715 estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$143715
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 26 contracts traded, $55635 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$55635
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 60 contracts traded, $42000 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$42000
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 62 contracts traded, $32620 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$32620

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close43.52
1W+0.8%
RS114.5
Fair value+310.1%
Options pressure26
Speculation7
Volatility96
Trend fit84

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 23.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.20 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.68 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:57 Volatility
Pressure 41
Move 22.8%
30 Jul 12:02 Bearish
Pressure -36
Move 24.0%
30 Jul 17:19 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 21.4%
30 Jul 17:54 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 21.7%
30 Jul 18:42 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 21.5%
31 Jul 08:47 Volatility
Pressure 61
Move 22.9%
31 Jul 14:43 Volatility
Pressure 24
Move 24.3%
31 Jul 16:05 Bullish
Pressure 20
Move 24.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike13.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 30
Strike14.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike16.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike18.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike19.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 11

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts86
Avg IV1.20
Put-call0.19
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts104
Avg IV1.10
Put-call5.31
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.86
Put-call1.00
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts94
Avg IV0.82
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.80
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.11
Put IV1.22
Skew0.12
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.06
Put IV1.17
Skew0.11
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.82
Put IV0.95
Skew0.13
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.81
Put IV0.87
Skew0.07
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.81
Put IV0.79
Skew-0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractDFTX280121P00045000
SidePut
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike45.00
Volume165
OI655
IV0.73
ContractDFTX260821C00045000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike45.00
Volume159
OI859
IV1.21
ContractDFTX260821C00047000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike47.00
Volume100
OI161
IV1.27
ContractDFTX260821P00030000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume76
OI686
IV1.35
ContractDFTX260918P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume60
OI132
IV0.99
ContractDFTX260821C00044000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike44.00
Volume50
OI320
IV1.32
ContractDFTX260821C00048000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike48.00
Volume46
OI603
IV1.21
ContractDFTX260821C00050000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike50.00
Volume39
OI3643
IV1.19