Ticker Options Intelligence

BTSG options intelligence

BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 4 Aug 2026 Checked 5 Aug 2026 02:52 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

BTSG currently carries bullish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 8.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.08

Call-side skew

Trend fit 19

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -18.1%

RS 30.6

Expected move 8.5%
Put-call volume 0.08
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 0.52
Max pain 70.00
Underlying 59.71
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 312

Research Brief

BTSG has a bullish chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 54.64–64.78; The largest call open-interest concentration is 75.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00.

Priced range54.64–64.78
Call concentration75.00
Put concentration70.00
Max pain reference70.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 54.64 to 64.78. Max pain at 70.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
54.6459.71 ± 5.0764.78
Confirmation level

A close beyond 64.78 or below 54.64 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 86/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure86 × 42%
+36.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation22 × 22%
+4.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement19 × 26%
+4.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility70 × 10%
+7.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score52.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 75.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 85.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
35.00-41.4%
15
0
40.00-33.0%
0
2
45.00-24.6%
1
184
50.00-16.3%
22
235
55.00-7.9%
67
390
60.000.5%
164
393
65.008.9%
145
517
70.0017.2%
387
31
75.0025.6%
668
0
80.0034.0%
270
0
85.0042.4%
272
0
90.0050.7%
2
0
95.0059.1%
14
0
100.0067.5%
14
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Balanced gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 100% coverage

Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.

Net profile+$144,508Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak70.00+$96,782
Negative peak60.00-$83,750
Nearest balance56.87Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
17.50-70.7%
+$269
20.00-66.5%
+$87
22.50-62.3%
+$58
25.00-58.1%
+$200
30.00-49.8%
+$271
35.00-41.4%
-$54,678
40.00-33.0%
+$3,190
45.00-24.6%
+$2,191
50.00-16.3%
-$16,256
55.00-7.9%
+$50,126
60.000.5%
-$83,750
65.008.9%
-$25,388
70.0017.2%
+$96,782
75.0025.6%
+$76,587
80.0034.0%
+$80,087
85.0042.4%
+$6,388
90.0050.7%
+$3,497
95.0059.1%
+$401
100.0067.5%
+$4,467
105.0075.8%
-$19
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.00× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.52 21 Aug 17d
0.52 18 Sep 45d
0.50 16 Oct 73d
0.52 18 Dec 136d
0.51 15 Jan 164d
0.51 19 Feb 199d
0.51 19 Mar 227d
0.51 16 Apr 255d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

50
55
60
65
70
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
4 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
312 / 312
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

83/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $446,250 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+86
1W price-18.1%
Call premium95%
Put premium5%
Notional split C 95% / P 5% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 19/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 7 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 70 contracts traded, $145,830 estimated gross traded notional, and 33% of visible notional.
$145,830
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 329 contracts traded, $97,298 estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$97,298
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 54 contracts traded, $39,915 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$39,915
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 35 contracts traded, $39,355 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$39,355
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 44 contracts traded, $37,180 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$37,180

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

5 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 5 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close59.71
1W-18.1%
RS30.6
Fair value+126.3%
Options pressure86
Speculation22
Volatility70
Trend fit19

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.5% history building
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions -
IV 0.52 history building
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.08 history building
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 history building
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:25 Volatility
Pressure 58
Move 13.2%
30 Jul 10:21 Volatility
Pressure 64
Move 14.3%
31 Jul 05:53 Bearish
Pressure -26
Move 12.8%
1 Aug 07:29 Bullish
Pressure 66
Move 20.6%
3 Aug 02:26 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 10.5%
4 Aug 10:10 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 8.9%
5 Aug 01:52 Bullish
Pressure 86
Move 8.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 15
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 1 · OI 2
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 22
Puts · V 0 · OI 184
Strike55.00
Calls · V 44 · OI 67
Puts · V 0 · OI 235
Strike60.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 164
Puts · V 49 · OI 390
Strike65.00
Calls · V 158 · OI 145
Puts · V 1 · OI 393
Strike70.00
Calls · V 46 · OI 387
Puts · V 0 · OI 517

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.09
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.03
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.50
Put-call0.14
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.10
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts34
Avg IV0.51
Put-call0.10

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.60
Skew0.13
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.50
Skew0.03
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.50
Skew0.02
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.54
Skew0.07
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.53
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBTSG260918C00065000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike65.00
Volume291
OI111
IV0.46
ContractBTSG260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume255
OI272
IV0.52
ContractBTSG260821C00065000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike65.00
Volume158
OI145
IV0.45
ContractBTSG260821P00060000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike60.00
Volume49
OI390
IV0.48
ContractBTSG260821C00070000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume46
OI387
IV0.47
ContractBTSG260821C00055000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike55.00
Volume44
OI67
IV0.60
ContractBTSG260821C00075000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume42
OI668
IV0.50
ContractBTSG261218C00065000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike65.00
Volume41
OI35
IV0.49