Ticker Options Intelligence

ASPI options intelligence

ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 46 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:42 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ASPI currently carries volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 7.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.27

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.4%

RS -46.6

Expected move 7.8%
Put-call volume 0.27
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 1.93
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 3.87
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 384

Research Brief

ASPI has a volatility chain read with 46/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 3.57–4.17; The largest call open-interest concentration is 8.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 5.00.

Priced range3.57–4.17
Call concentration8.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 31 Jul

Options imply 3.57 to 4.17. Max pain at 5.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
3.573.87 ± 0.304.17
Confirmation level

A close beyond 4.17 or below 3.57 at the 31 Jul expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 46/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 66/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure66 × 42%
+27.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility87 × 10%
+8.7

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score45.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 8.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 5.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
1.00-74.2%
28
0
2.00-48.3%
35
9
2.50-35.4%
12
269
3.50-9.6%
8
220
4.003.4%
327
67
4.5016.3%
408
809
5.0029.2%
208
32
5.5042.1%
167
2
6.0055.0%
235
3
6.5068.0%
257
3
7.0080.9%
300
1
7.5093.8%
187
1
8.00106.7%
461
0
8.50119.6%
27
0
9.00132.6%
46
2
10.00158.4%
266
0
10.50171.3%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.68× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.93 31 Jul 1d
1.01 7 Aug 8d
1.04 14 Aug 15d
1.15 21 Aug 22d
1.20 28 Aug 29d
0.94 4 Sep 36d
0.26 11 Sep 43d
1.04 18 Sep 50d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

4
4
5
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
384 / 384
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.2M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+66
1W price+3.4%
Call premium84%
Put premium16%
Notional split C 84% / P 16% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 12 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · ITM
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 1257 contracts traded, $540962 estimated gross traded notional, and 43% of visible notional.
$540962
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 3214 contracts traded, $386488 estimated gross traded notional, and 31% of visible notional.
$386488
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 2257 contracts traded, $96938 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$96938
Puts · 0-7 days · ITM puts cluster with 813 contracts traded, $88535 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$88535
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 703 contracts traded, $80922 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$80922

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close4.00
1W+3.4%
RS-46.6
Fair value-19.8%
Options pressure66
Speculation41
Volatility87
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.8% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 1.93 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.27 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:14 Bullish
Pressure 52
Move 11.0%
30 Jul 11:00 Bullish
Pressure 54
Move 13.6%
31 Jul 10:42 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 7.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike1.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 28
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike1.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 7
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike2.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 35
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike2.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 12
Puts · V 0 · OI 9
Strike3.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike3.50
Calls · V 5 · OI 8
Puts · V 0 · OI 269
Strike4.00
Calls · V 38 · OI 327
Puts · V 61 · OI 220
Strike4.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 408
Puts · V 0 · OI 67

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV1.93
Put-call16.20
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV1.01
Put-call0.12
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts48
Avg IV1.04
Put-call5.20
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV1.15
Put-call0.17
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV1.20
Put-call0.93

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.56
Put IV1.66
Skew0.11
7 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.25
Put IV0.59
Skew-0.66
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.19
Put IV1.21
Skew0.02
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.21
Put IV1.24
Skew0.03
28 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.27
Put IV1.34
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractASPI260821C00004000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike4.00
Volume2110
OI78
IV1.18
ContractASPI280121C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike10.00
Volume985
OI13100
IV1.21
ContractASPI280121C00007000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike7.00
Volume983
OI4963
IV1.22
ContractASPI260731P00005000
SidePut
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike5.00
Volume700
OI809
IV0.01
ContractASPI270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume674
OI15677
IV1.22
ContractASPI260911C00000500
SideCall
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Strike0.50
Volume638
OI-
IV10.00
ContractASPI260904C00000500
SideCall
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike0.50
Volume418
OI140
IV10.00
ContractASPI260814P00005000
SidePut
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume332
OI93
IV1.46