Primary read
Bullish
Call-side pressure
Ticker Options Intelligence
KYIV options intelligence
Kyivstar Group Ltd. Common Shares options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
43
Market data through 4 Aug 2026
Checked 5 Aug 2026 08:15 · complete available chain
Call-side pressure
Bullish pressure
KYIV currently carries bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 15.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.
Expected move
15.0%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.00
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.75
Balanced tape
Trend fit
92
Options agree with trend context
Weekly backdrop
+1.2%
Sharemaestro weekly context
Expected move
15.0%
Put-call volume
0.75
Volume / OI
0.00
Reference IV
0.69
Max pain
12.50
Underlying
13.56
Nearest expiry
21 Aug 2026
Contracts
80
Research Brief
KYIV has a bullish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 11.53–15.59; The largest call open-interest concentration is 12.50; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.
Priced range11.53–15.59
Call concentration12.50
Put concentration12.50
Max pain reference12.50
- Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
- The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
- Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
- Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 11.53 to 15.59. Max pain at 12.50 sits inside that range, 7.8% below spot.
Spot
Max pain
11.5313.56 ± 2.0315.59
Confirmation level
A close beyond 15.59 or below 11.53 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 43/100
Pressure is 24/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure24 × 42%
+10.0
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation2 × 22%
+0.4
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement92 × 26%
+24.0
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility89 × 10%
+8.9
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 12.50; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-81.6%
0
0
5.00-63.1%
0
0
7.50-44.7%
0
0
10.00-26.3%
0
865
12.50-7.8%
1512
172
15.0010.6%
754
0
17.5029.1%
103
0
20.0047.5%
2
0
22.5065.9%
0
0
25.0084.4%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Gamma Profile by Strike
Positive gamma proxy
Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.
Net profile+$182,306Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak15.00+$165,701
Negative peak17.50-$593
Nearest balance10.16Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
5.00-63.1%
-$1
7.50-44.7%
-$15
10.00-26.3%
-$500
12.50-7.8%
+$7,211
15.0010.6%
+$165,701
17.5029.1%
-$593
20.0047.5%
+$5,144
22.5065.9%
+$1,041
25.0084.4%
+$4,318
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike
Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.
Volatility Curve
Front-loaded volatility
Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.
0.69
21 Aug
17d
0.44
18 Sep
45d
0.57
18 Dec
136d
0.52
19 Mar
227d
Volatility by Strike
Upside optionality premium
Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.
13
15
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.
Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
- Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
- Independent entryone read per market session
- Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
- Matched expiry closereported only after maturity
Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
High
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 4 Aug 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 80 / 80
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Call-heavy activity with trend alignment
Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.
Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.
Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1,030 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+24
1W price+1.2%
Call premium87%
Put premium13%
Notional split
C 87% / P 13%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.00
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
92/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Calls · 91+ days · ITM
calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $750 estimated gross traded notional, and 73% of visible notional.
$750
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM
calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $145 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$145
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM
puts cluster with 3 contracts traded, $135 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$135
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Activity Anomaly
Warming up
5 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.
Baseline: 5 completed sessions
Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close13.56
1W+1.2%
RS-
Fair value+6.6%
Options pressure24
Speculation2
Volatility89
Trend fit92
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 5/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 5/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 5/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:52
Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 17.1%
30 Jul 10:42
Volatility
Pressure -87
Move 12.9%
30 Jul 15:00
Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 12.1%
30 Jul 15:41
Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 12.1%
31 Jul 13:35
Bullish
Pressure 94
Move 12.2%
31 Jul 15:26
Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 15.3%
31 Jul 15:44
Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 15.3%
31 Jul 17:00
Volatility
Pressure 92
Move 14.2%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1512
Puts · V 0 · OI 865
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 754
Puts · V 0 · OI 172
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 103
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.69
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.44
Put-call1.50
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.57
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-
Skew
Call/put IV balance
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.26
Skew-0.30
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.60
Put IV0.53
Skew-0.07
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.77
Put IV0.61
Skew-0.16
19 Mar 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.76
Put IV0.59
Skew-0.17
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractKYIV260918P00012500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike12.50
Volume3
OI717
IV0.53
ContractKYIV260918C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume2
OI6346
IV0.60
ContractKYIV270319C00010000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike10.00
Volume2
OI8
IV0.01
ContractKYIV260918C00012500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI5726
IV0.01
ContractKYIV260918C00025000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI2932
IV0.69
ContractKYIV260821C00012500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI1512
IV0.60
ContractKYIV261218C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI1190
IV0.26
ContractKYIV261218P00015000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI966
IV0.65
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
No upcoming matched earnings event.
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.