Ticker Options Intelligence

ASX options intelligence

ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 5 Aug 2026 Checked 6 Aug 2026 11:01 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ASX currently carries volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 15.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 15.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.58

Call-side skew

Trend fit 77

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -4.5%

RS 47.3

Expected move 15.6%
Put-call volume 0.58
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.88
Max pain 37.50
Underlying 35.17
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 252

Research Brief

ASX has a volatility chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 29.70–40.64; The largest call open-interest concentration is 42.50; the largest put concentration is 32.50. The most active strike by current volume is 42.50.

Priced range29.70–40.64
Call concentration42.50
Put concentration32.50
Max pain reference37.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 29.70 to 40.64. Max pain at 37.50 sits inside that range, 6.6% above spot.

Spot Max pain
29.7035.17 ± 5.4740.64
Confirmation level

A close beyond 40.64 or below 29.70 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 35/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure35 × 42%
+14.5

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement77 × 26%
+20.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score53.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 42.50; the largest put concentration is 32.50. The most active strike by current volume is 42.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
242
20.00-43.1%
68
50
22.50-36.0%
0
487
25.00-28.9%
1
280
27.50-21.8%
2
1020
30.00-14.7%
15
2224
32.50-7.6%
305
1624
35.00-0.5%
835
885
37.506.6%
534
410
40.0013.7%
815
101
42.5020.8%
17740
136
45.0027.9%
1740
0
47.5035.1%
11918
6
50.0042.2%
3196
1
55.0056.4%
597
0
60.0070.6%
97
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 99% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$2.2MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak42.50+$1.1M
Negative peak30.00-$82,199
Nearest balance33.78Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
10.00-71.6%
-$70
12.50-64.5%
+$897
15.00-57.4%
+$289
17.50-50.2%
-$76
20.00-43.1%
+$1,113
22.50-36.0%
+$4,082
25.00-28.9%
+$28,196
27.50-21.8%
-$32,812
30.00-14.7%
-$82,199
32.50-7.6%
-$77,065
35.00-0.5%
+$73,045
37.506.6%
+$25,366
40.0013.7%
+$110,395
42.5020.8%
+$1.1M
45.0027.9%
+$164,570
47.5035.1%
+$459,266
50.0042.2%
+$212,109
52.5049.3%
+$467
55.0056.4%
+$78,100
60.0070.6%
+$110,235
65.0084.8%
+$12,565
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.16× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.88 21 Aug 16d
0.81 18 Sep 44d
0.84 18 Dec 135d
0.81 15 Jan 163d
0.81 19 Mar 226d
0.77 21 Jan 534d
0.76 15 Dec 863d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

30
33
35
38
40
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
5 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
252 / 252
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

92/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.4M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+35
1W price-4.5%
Call premium72%
Put premium28%
Notional split C 72% / P 28% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 77/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 905 contracts traded, $518,360 estimated gross traded notional, and 38% of visible notional.
$518,360
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 976 contracts traded, $164,870 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$164,870
Puts · 22-45 days · ATM puts cluster with 526 contracts traded, $163,060 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$163,060
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 100 contracts traded, $141,435 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$141,435
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 581 contracts traded, $123,416 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$123,416

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

6 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 6 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close35.17
1W-4.5%
RS47.3
Fair value+158.0%
Options pressure35
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend fit77

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 15.6% history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
IV 0.88 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.58 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:03 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 22.2%
30 Jul 10:02 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 21.4%
30 Jul 15:19 Volatility
Pressure 36
Move 17.4%
30 Jul 17:45 Volatility
Pressure 57
Move 17.6%
30 Jul 19:34 Volatility
Pressure 58
Move 17.5%
31 Jul 12:32 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 17.6%
31 Jul 14:14 Mixed
Pressure -3
Move 16.6%
31 Jul 15:36 Volatility
Pressure 24
Move 17.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 68
Puts · V 0 · OI 242
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 50
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 1 · OI 487
Strike27.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 38 · OI 280
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 15
Puts · V 140 · OI 1020
Strike32.50
Calls · V 42 · OI 305
Puts · V 23 · OI 2224
Strike35.00
Calls · V 7 · OI 835
Puts · V 80 · OI 1624
Strike37.50
Calls · V 25 · OI 534
Puts · V 10 · OI 885

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.88
Put-call0.55
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.81
Put-call1.15
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.84
Put-call0.67
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.81
Put-call0.05
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts30
Avg IV0.81
Put-call0.33

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.83
Put IV0.88
Skew0.05
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.84
Put IV0.83
Skew-0.01
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.82
Put IV0.82
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.82
Put IV0.81
Skew-0.01
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.81
Put IV0.82
Skew0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractASX270115C00045000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike45.00
Volume736
OI545
IV0.82
ContractASX260918P00032500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike32.50
Volume550
OI3098
IV0.83
ContractASX260918P00035000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike35.00
Volume526
OI1865
IV0.81
ContractASX260918C00050000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike50.00
Volume463
OI3527
IV0.85
ContractASX260918C00040000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike40.00
Volume208
OI4787
IV0.84
ContractASX260821C00042500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike42.50
Volume200
OI17740
IV0.83
ContractASX260821C00047500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike47.50
Volume178
OI11918
IV0.92
ContractASX260821P00030000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume140
OI1020
IV0.87