Ticker Options Intelligence

LTBR options intelligence

Lightbridge Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 06:52 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

LTBR currently carries bearish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 22.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 22.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.92

Put-side skew

Trend fit 78

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +9.9%

RS -47.6

Expected move 22.7%
Put-call volume 1.92
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 1.64
Max pain 10.00
Underlying 7.50
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 120

Research Brief

LTBR has a bearish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 5.80–9.20; The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50.

Priced range5.80–9.20
Call concentration10.00
Put concentration7.50
Max pain reference10.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 5.80 to 9.20. Max pain at 10.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
5.807.50 ± 1.709.20
Confirmation level

A close beyond 9.20 or below 5.80 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 24/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure24 × 42%
+10.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation2 × 22%
+0.5

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement78 × 26%
+20.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score40.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 10.00; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-66.7%
6
369
5.00-33.3%
10
982
7.500.0%
199
398
10.0033.3%
1235
541
12.5066.7%
688
65
15.00100.0%
363
21
17.50133.3%
423
1
20.00166.7%
298
4
22.50200.0%
42
2
25.00233.3%
146
0
30.00300.0%
14
0
35.00366.7%
87
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.71× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.64 21 Aug 21d
1.17 18 Sep 49d
1.07 20 Nov 112d
1.01 15 Jan 168d
1.00 19 Feb 203d
0.96 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

8
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
120 / 120
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

91/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $7475 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · atm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-24
1W price+9.9%
Call premium40%
Put premium60%
Notional split C 40% / P 60% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 78/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 10 Aug Matched earnings event is 8 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ATM
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 60 contracts traded, $2400 estimated gross traded notional, and 32% of visible notional.
$2400
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 10 contracts traded, $1975 estimated gross traded notional, and 26% of visible notional.
$1975
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 18 contracts traded, $1895 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$1895
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $560 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$560
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $345 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$345

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close8.24
1W+9.9%
RS-47.6
Fair value-4.6%
Options pressure-24
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend fit78

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 22.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.64 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.92 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:30 Volatility
Pressure 86
Move 21.0%
30 Jul 11:14 Volatility
Pressure 87
Move 19.3%
31 Jul 10:51 Volatility
Pressure 73
Move 24.0%
1 Aug 05:52 Bearish
Pressure -24
Move 22.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 369
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 199
Puts · V 60 · OI 982
Strike10.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 1235
Puts · V 10 · OI 398
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 688
Puts · V 0 · OI 541
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 363
Puts · V 0 · OI 65
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 423
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike20.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 298
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV1.64
Put-call6.36
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV1.17
Put-call0.13
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV1.07
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts24
Avg IV1.01
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts16
Avg IV1.00
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.21
Put IV0.95
Skew-0.26
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.01
Put IV0.96
Skew-0.05
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.08
Put IV0.95
Skew-0.13
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV1.04
Put IV0.97
Skew-0.07
19 Feb 2027Call IV premium
Call IV1.03
Put IV0.95
Skew-0.08

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractLTBR260821P00007500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume60
OI982
IV0.95
ContractLTBR261120C00010000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike10.00
Volume12
OI133
IV1.00
ContractLTBR260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume10
OI398
IV0.97
ContractLTBR260918C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume8
OI28
IV1.06
ContractLTBR260821C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume5
OI1235
IV1.21
ContractLTBR260821C00020000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume5
OI298
IV1.50
ContractLTBR270115C00035000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike35.00
Volume4
OI1720
IV1.16
ContractLTBR261120C00012500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume1
OI200
IV0.96