Ticker Options Intelligence

RXST options intelligence

Rxsight Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 15:18 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

RXST currently carries volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 33.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.57.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 33.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.57

Current volume is elevated versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.35

Call-side skew

Trend fit 6

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -6.5%

RS -41.4

Expected move 33.7%
Put-call volume 0.35
Volume / OI 0.57
Reference IV 1.89
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 5.19
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 22

Research Brief

RXST has a volatility chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 3.44–6.94; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 5.00.

Priced range3.44–6.94
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 3.44 to 6.94. Max pain at 5.00 sits inside that range, 3.7% below spot.

Spot Max pain
3.445.19 ± 1.756.94
Confirmation level

A close beyond 6.94 or below 3.44 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 53/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure53 × 42%
+22.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation53 × 22%
+11.7

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement6 × 26%
+1.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score45.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 5.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
21
2.50-51.8%
0
231
5.00-3.7%
947
0
7.5044.5%
64
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.48× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.89 21 Aug 21d
1.66 18 Sep 49d
1.08 18 Dec 140d
1.28 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

5
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
22 / 22
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

89/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $136947 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+53
1W price-6.5%
Call premium67%
Put premium33%
Notional split C 67% / P 33% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.57 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 6/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 458 contracts traded, $61830 estimated gross traded notional, and 45% of visible notional.
$61830
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 152 contracts traded, $38140 estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional.
$38140
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 53 contracts traded, $19755 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$19755
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 50 contracts traded, $6750 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$6750
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 110 contracts traded, $4080 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$4080

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close5.19
1W-6.5%
RS-41.4
Fair value-81.2%
Options pressure53
Speculation53
Volatility96
Trend fit6

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 33.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.89 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.35 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.57 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:39 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 27.8%
30 Jul 11:18 Bullish
Pressure 59
Move 22.5%
30 Jul 14:51 Volatility
Pressure 53
Move 40.9%
31 Jul 11:04 Volatility
Pressure -94
Move 41.1%
31 Jul 13:59 Volatility
Pressure 53
Move 36.1%
31 Jul 14:18 Volatility
Pressure 53
Move 33.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 10 · OI 21
Strike5.00
Calls · V 458 · OI 947
Puts · V 100 · OI 231
Strike7.50
Calls · V 20 · OI 64
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV1.89
Put-call0.23
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts11
Avg IV1.66
Put-call0.54
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.08
Put-call0.36
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts1
Avg IV1.28
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.89
Put IV0.25
Skew-0.64
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.09
Put IV1.06
Skew-0.03
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.02
Put IV0.98
Skew-0.04
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRXST261218P00010000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI2
IV1.29
ContractRXST270319C00005000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.28
ContractRXST260918P00017500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI1
IV2.39
ContractRXST260918C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI-
IV1.58
ContractRXST260918P00015000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI-
IV2.54
ContractRXST260821C00005000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume458
OI947
IV1.56
ContractRXST260918C00012500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike12.50
Volume200
OI-
IV0.50
ContractRXST260918P00007500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume150
OI1
IV1.59