Primary read
Mixed
Options-market disagreement
Ticker Options Intelligence
ABNB options intelligence
Airbnb Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
44
Market data through 31 Jul 2026
Checked 1 Aug 2026 11:57 · complete available chain
Options-market disagreement
Mixed pressure
ABNB currently carries mixed options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.
Expected move
7.4%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.02
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.75
Balanced tape
Trend fit
80
Options agree with trend context
Weekly backdrop
+7.4%
RS 6.0
Expected move
7.4%
Put-call volume
0.75
Volume / OI
0.02
Reference IV
0.68
Max pain
143.00
Underlying
151.52
Nearest expiry
7 Aug 2026
Contracts
1100
Research Brief
ABNB has a mixed chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 140.27–162.77; The largest call open-interest concentration is 155.00; the largest put concentration is 125.00. The most active strike by current volume is 155.00.
Priced range140.27–162.77
Call concentration155.00
Put concentration125.00
Max pain reference143.00
- A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
- The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
- Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
- Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 140.27 to 162.77. Max pain at 143.00 sits inside that range, 5.6% below spot.
Spot
Max pain
140.27151.52 ± 11.25162.77
Confirmation level
A close beyond 162.77 or below 140.27 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 44/100
Pressure is 15/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure15 × 42%
+6.4
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation40 × 22%
+8.9
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement80 × 26%
+20.7
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility77 × 10%
+7.7
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 155.00; the largest put concentration is 125.00. The most active strike by current volume is 155.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
127
120.00-20.8%
0
346
125.00-17.5%
5
337
130.00-14.2%
4
52
133.00-12.2%
602
282
134.00-11.6%
5
64
135.00-10.9%
17
280
140.00-7.6%
26
114
143.00-5.6%
15
77
145.00-4.3%
48
50
147.00-3.0%
253
286
150.00-1.0%
472
158
152.500.6%
282
17
155.002.3%
634
0
157.503.9%
155
3
160.005.6%
400
0
165.008.9%
265
0
175.0015.5%
36
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Volatility Curve
Front-loaded volatility
Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.
0.68
7 Aug
7d
0.54
14 Aug
14d
0.47
21 Aug
21d
0.45
28 Aug
28d
0.42
4 Sep
35d
0.41
11 Sep
42d
0.40
18 Sep
49d
0.38
16 Oct
77d
Volatility by Strike
Balanced wings
Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.
122
124
126
128
130
132
134
136
138
140
142
144
146
148
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.
Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
- Versioned calculationv2 observations only
- Independent entryone read per market session
- Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
- Matched expiry closereported only after maturity
Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
High
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 31 Jul 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 1100 / 1100
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Earnings/event positioning
Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.
The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.
Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.8M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 0-7 days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+15
1W price+7.4%
Call premium71%
Put premium29%
Notional split
C 71% / P 29%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.02
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
80/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window
5 Aug
Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM
calls cluster with 508 contracts traded, $242260 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$242260
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM
calls cluster with 334 contracts traded, $213622 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$213622
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM
calls cluster with 547 contracts traded, $166145 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$166145
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 151 contracts traded, $154512 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$154512
Calls · 91+ days · ITM
calls cluster with 42 contracts traded, $129605 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$129605
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Activity Anomaly
Warming up
3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.
Baseline: 3 completed sessions
Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close151.52
1W+7.4%
RS6.0
Fair value+12.5%
Options pressure15
Speculation40
Volatility77
Trend fit80
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:04
Bullish
Pressure 49
Move 8.6%
30 Jul 10:03
Bullish
Pressure 29
Move 2.8%
31 Jul 06:14
Mixed
Pressure -6
Move 1.5%
1 Aug 10:57
Mixed
Pressure 15
Move 7.4%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike110.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts110
Avg IV0.68
Put-call0.59
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.54
Put-call0.51
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts98
Avg IV0.47
Put-call1.14
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts98
Avg IV0.45
Put-call1.42
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts98
Avg IV0.42
Put-call2.70
Skew
Call/put IV balance
7 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.63
Put IV0.69
Skew0.06
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.50
Put IV0.58
Skew0.08
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.45
Put IV0.47
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.42
Put IV0.43
Skew0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.43
Skew0.03
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractABNB260821P00115000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike115.00
Volume458
OI504
IV0.60
ContractABNB260918C00170000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike170.00
Volume405
OI1378
IV0.38
ContractABNB260807C00155000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike155.00
Volume299
OI634
IV0.67
ContractABNB260807C00175000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike175.00
Volume133
OI36
IV0.63
ContractABNB260821C00155000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike155.00
Volume120
OI7464
IV0.45
ContractABNB260807P00150000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike150.00
Volume109
OI286
IV0.65
ContractABNB260807P00140000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike140.00
Volume107
OI280
IV0.65
ContractABNB260807C00150000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike150.00
Volume95
OI472
IV0.62
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Earnings
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.