Ticker Options Intelligence

NFBK options intelligence

Northfield Bancorp Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 34 Market data through 28 Jul 2026 Checked 29 Jul 2026 12:22 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

NFBK currently carries bearish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 0.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.06.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 0.8%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.06

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.21

Put-side skew

Trend fit 73

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +3.0%

RS 13.3

Expected move 0.8%
Put-call volume 2.21
Volume / OI 0.06
Reference IV 0.03
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 15.31
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 15

Research Brief

NFBK has a bearish chain read with 34/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 15.19–15.43; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 15.00.

Priced range15.19–15.43
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration15.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 15.19 to 15.43. Max pain at 15.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
15.1915.31 ± 0.1215.43
Confirmation level

A close beyond 15.43 or below 15.19 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 34/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 30/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure30 × 42%
+12.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation9 × 22%
+2.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement73 × 26%
+19.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility5 × 10%
+0.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score34.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 15.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
10
15.00-2.0%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.17× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.03 21 Aug 23d
1.95 18 Sep 51d
1.95 18 Dec 142d
0.19 19 Mar 233d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

15
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

No independently verifiable option-expiry outcomes have matured yet. Legacy snapshots without a point-in-time market reference and repeated same-session snapshots are deliberately excluded.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
28 Jul 2026
Calculation
v1.x legacy
Contracts
15 / 15
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

57/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $12323 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-30
1W price+3.0%
Call premium86%
Put premium14%
Notional split C 86% / P 14% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.06 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 73/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $10055 estimated gross traded notional, and 82% of visible notional.
$10055
Puts · 22-45 days · ATM puts cluster with 10 contracts traded, $850 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$850
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 30 contracts traded, $612 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$612
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 9 contracts traded, $540 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional.
$540
Puts · 46-90 days · ATM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $200 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$200

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

0 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 0 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close15.31
1W+3.0%
RS13.3
Fair value+41.0%
Options pressure-30
Speculation9
Volatility5
Trend fit73

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 0.8% history building
30d avg - · 0/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 0/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 0/60 sessions -
IV 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 0/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 0/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 0/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.21 history building
30d avg - · 0/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 0/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 0/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.06 history building
30d avg - · 0/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 0/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 0/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:22 Bearish
Pressure -30
Move 0.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 10 · OI 10

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts1
Avg IV0.03
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV1.95
Put-call0.11
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV1.95
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts2
Avg IV0.19
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.03
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.39
Put IV0.02
Skew-1.37
18 Dec 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.06
Skew-
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV0.13
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractNFBK260918C00017500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI29
IV1.39
ContractNFBK261218C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI-
IV2.57
ContractNFBK260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00
ContractNFBK261218C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV4.62
ContractNFBK261218P00010000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike10.00
Volume22
OI32
IV0.57
ContractNFBK260821P00015000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume10
OI10
IV0.03
ContractNFBK260918C00015000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume9
OI691
IV0.00
ContractNFBK260918C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume5
OI-
IV7.66