Ticker Options Intelligence

LGND options intelligence

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 3 Aug 2026 11:15 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

LGND currently carries bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 9.2%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.50

Put-side skew

Trend fit 59

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -4.3%

RS 26.6

Expected move 9.2%
Put-call volume 2.50
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.49
Max pain 220.00
Underlying 287.54
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 620

Research Brief

LGND has a bearish chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 260.99–314.09; The largest call open-interest concentration is 220.00; the largest put concentration is 260.00. The most active strike by current volume is 290.00.

Priced range260.99–314.09
Call concentration220.00
Put concentration260.00
Max pain reference220.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 260.99 to 314.09. Max pain at 220.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
260.99287.54 ± 26.55314.09
Confirmation level

A close beyond 314.09 or below 260.99 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 38/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure38 × 42%
+16.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation18 × 22%
+4.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement59 × 26%
+15.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility71 × 10%
+7.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score42.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 220.00; the largest put concentration is 260.00. The most active strike by current volume is 290.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
8
125.00-56.5%
2
1
140.00-51.3%
10
2
175.00-39.1%
6
2
180.00-37.4%
24
5
200.00-30.4%
28
20
210.00-27.0%
7
3
220.00-23.5%
149
4
230.00-20.0%
9
11
250.00-13.1%
28
33
260.00-9.6%
22
6
270.00-6.1%
45
18
280.00-2.6%
6
12
290.000.9%
8
6
300.004.3%
9
0
310.007.8%
9
1
320.0011.3%
21
13
330.0014.8%
25
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.04× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.49 21 Aug 21d
0.45 18 Sep 49d
0.44 20 Nov 112d
0.44 18 Dec 140d
0.44 15 Jan 168d
0.44 19 Feb 203d
0.47 17 Jun 321d
0.47 17 Dec 504d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

240
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
320
330
340
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
620 / 620
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are both cautionary.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $98085 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · atm, and a bearish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-38
1W price-4.3%
Call premium54%
Put premium46%
Notional split C 54% / P 46% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 59/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ATM
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 26 contracts traded, $35230 estimated gross traded notional, and 36% of visible notional.
$35230
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $20625 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$20625
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $18885 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional.
$18885
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $12000 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$12000
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $6000 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$6000

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close287.54
1W-4.3%
RS26.6
Fair value+118.8%
Options pressure-38
Speculation18
Volatility71
Trend fit59

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.2% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.49 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.50 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:40 Volatility
Pressure -50
Move 10.1%
30 Jul 10:38 Volatility
Pressure 68
Move 10.0%
31 Jul 10:24 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 9.3%
31 Jul 13:54 Volatility
Pressure 11
Move 9.3%
31 Jul 16:45 Volatility
Pressure 12
Move 9.5%
1 Aug 05:20 Bearish
Pressure -38
Move 9.5%
3 Aug 10:15 Bearish
Pressure -38
Move 9.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike115.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike120.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike130.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike135.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike140.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.49
Put-call4.00
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.45
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts92
Avg IV0.44
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.44
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts76
Avg IV0.44
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.47
Skew-0.04
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.43
Skew-0.01
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.44
Skew-
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.43
Skew-0.01
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.43
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractLGND260821P00290000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike290.00
Volume26
OI12
IV0.45
ContractLGND260821C00250000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike250.00
Volume5
OI28
IV0.59
ContractLGND271217C00310000
SideCall
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Strike310.00
Volume2
OI2
IV0.47
ContractLGND271217C00290000
SideCall
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Strike290.00
Volume2
OI-
IV0.47
ContractLGND260821P00280000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike280.00
Volume1
OI18
IV0.47
ContractLGND260821C00310000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike310.00
Volume1
OI9
IV0.50
ContractLGND260821C00300000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike300.00
Volume1
OI9
IV0.50
ContractLGND270617C00290000
SideCall
Expiry17 Jun 2027
Strike290.00
Volume1
OI8
IV0.47