Ticker Options Intelligence

GNR options intelligence

STATE STREET SPDR S&P GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES ETF options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 52 Market data through 5 Aug 2026 Checked 6 Aug 2026 13:29 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

GNR currently carries bullish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 1.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 1.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.8%

RS 1.9

Expected move 1.7%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 0.08
Max pain 62.00
Underlying 72.38
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 188

Research Brief

GNR has a bullish chain read with 52/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 71.12–73.64; The largest call open-interest concentration is 71.00; the largest put concentration is 62.00. The most active strike by current volume is 62.00.

Priced range71.12–73.64
Call concentration71.00
Put concentration62.00
Max pain reference62.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 71.12 to 73.64. Max pain at 62.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
71.1272.38 ± 1.2673.64
Confirmation level

A close beyond 73.64 or below 71.12 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 52/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility13 × 10%
+1.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score52.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 71.00; the largest put concentration is 62.00. The most active strike by current volume is 62.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
62.00-14.3%
0
0
63.00-13.0%
0
0
64.00-11.6%
0
0
65.00-10.2%
0
0
66.00-8.8%
0
0
67.00-7.4%
0
0
68.00-6.1%
0
0
69.00-4.7%
0
0
70.00-3.3%
0
0
71.00-1.9%
10
0
72.00-0.5%
0
0
73.000.9%
0
0
74.002.2%
0
0
75.003.6%
0
0
76.005.0%
0
0
77.006.4%
0
0
78.007.8%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$75,292Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak76.00+$55,916
Negative peak65.00-$19,046
Nearest balance70.35Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
55.00-24.0%
+$25
61.00-15.7%
-$16
63.00-13.0%
+$74
65.00-10.2%
-$19,046
66.00-8.8%
+$668
68.00-6.1%
+$175
69.00-4.7%
-$294
70.00-3.3%
-$4,301
71.00-1.9%
+$7,949
72.00-0.5%
+$23,967
74.002.2%
+$7,406
75.003.6%
+$2,886
76.005.0%
+$55,916
78.007.8%
+$91
80.0010.5%
-$208
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.45× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.08 21 Aug 16d
0.15 18 Sep 44d
0.20 18 Dec 135d
0.18 19 Mar 226d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
5 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
188 / 188
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

39/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $3,525 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · otm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+0.8%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · OTM
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM calls cluster with 30 contracts traded, $3,525 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$3,525

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

6 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 6 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close72.38
1W+0.8%
RS1.9
Fair value+29.4%
Options pressure100
Speculation41
Volatility13
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 1.7% history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
IV 0.08 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 12:28 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 2.7%
30 Jul 12:05 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 2.8%
31 Jul 11:44 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 2.2%
3 Aug 10:42 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 2.2%
4 Aug 11:54 Mixed
Pressure 11
Move 2.1%
5 Aug 12:23 Bearish
Pressure -89
Move 1.4%
6 Aug 12:29 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 1.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike62.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike63.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike64.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike66.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike67.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike68.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike69.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts38
Avg IV0.08
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.15
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV0.20
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts38
Avg IV0.18
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.02
Put IV0.05
Skew0.03
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.17
Put IV0.20
Skew0.03
18 Dec 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.16
Skew-0.07
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.16
Put IV0.28
Skew0.12

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractGNR260918C00075000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike75.00
Volume30
OI4
IV0.17
ContractGNR261218C00076000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike76.00
Volume-
OI218
IV0.18
ContractGNR260918P00065000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI194
IV0.23
ContractGNR260918C00072000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike72.00
Volume-
OI57
IV0.18
ContractGNR260918P00070000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI17
IV0.20
ContractGNR260918C00074000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike74.00
Volume-
OI16
IV0.19
ContractGNR260918C00071000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike71.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.20
ContractGNR260821C00071000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike71.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.24