Ticker Options Intelligence

BAP options intelligence

Credicorp Ltd options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 02:45 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

BAP currently carries bearish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 8.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 4.75

Put-side skew

Trend fit 43

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.1%

RS 22.7

Expected move 8.3%
Put-call volume 4.75
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.43
Max pain 340.00
Underlying 400.58
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 284

Research Brief

BAP has a bearish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 367.33–433.83; The largest call open-interest concentration is 350.00; the largest put concentration is 300.00. The most active strike by current volume is 170.00.

Priced range367.33–433.83
Call concentration350.00
Put concentration300.00
Max pain reference340.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 367.33 to 433.83. Max pain at 340.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
367.33400.58 ± 33.25433.83
Confirmation level

A close beyond 433.83 or below 367.33 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 56/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure56 × 42%
+23.6

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation13 × 22%
+2.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement43 × 26%
+11.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility63 × 10%
+6.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 350.00; the largest put concentration is 300.00. The most active strike by current volume is 170.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
8
220.00-45.1%
0
5
230.00-42.6%
0
11
250.00-37.6%
0
4
270.00-32.6%
1
188
300.00-25.1%
1
2
310.00-22.6%
3
31
320.00-20.1%
18
39
330.00-17.6%
89
76
340.00-15.1%
4
25
350.00-12.6%
1086
4
360.00-10.1%
6
1
370.00-7.6%
6
6
380.00-5.1%
3
18
390.00-2.6%
1072
1
400.00-0.1%
58
1
410.002.4%
15
0
420.004.8%
21
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.14× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.43 21 Aug 21d
0.39 18 Sep 49d
0.39 20 Nov 112d
0.38 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

330
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
284 / 284
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

74/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow against rising price

Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $199700 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-56
1W price+3.1%
Call premium10%
Put premium90%
Notional split C 10% / P 90% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 43/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 38 contracts traded, $180500 estimated gross traded notional, and 90% of visible notional.
$180500
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $19200 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$19200

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close400.58
1W+3.1%
RS22.7
Fair value+97.8%
Options pressure-56
Speculation13
Volatility63
Trend fit43

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.43 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 4.75 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:14 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 8.6%
30 Jul 10:11 Bearish
Pressure -58
Move 8.5%
30 Jul 15:31 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 8.8%
30 Jul 15:46 Mixed
Pressure 1
Move 8.8%
30 Jul 19:38 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 8.7%
2 Aug 01:45 Bearish
Pressure -56
Move 8.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike170.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike175.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike180.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike185.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike190.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike195.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike200.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike210.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 4

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts76
Avg IV0.43
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.39
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV0.39
Put-call4.75
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts70
Avg IV0.38
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.42
Put IV0.44
Skew0.02
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.41
Skew0.03
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.40
Skew0.03
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.37
Put IV0.39
Skew0.02

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBAP261120P00430000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike430.00
Volume38
OI-
IV0.37
ContractBAP261120C00430000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike430.00
Volume8
OI5
IV0.39
ContractBAP260821C00350000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike350.00
Volume-
OI1086
IV0.54
ContractBAP260821C00390000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike390.00
Volume-
OI1072
IV0.45
ContractBAP260821P00300000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike300.00
Volume-
OI188
IV0.86
ContractBAP261120C00390000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike390.00
Volume-
OI157
IV0.40
ContractBAP260821C00330000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike330.00
Volume-
OI89
IV0.61
ContractBAP261120P00380000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike380.00
Volume-
OI88
IV0.39