Ticker Options Intelligence

DJT options intelligence

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 47 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 02:05 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

DJT currently carries volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 21.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 21.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.23

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -11.4%

RS -36.7

Expected move 21.3%
Put-call volume 0.23
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 1.42
Max pain 9.00
Underlying 8.56
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 730

Research Brief

DJT has a volatility chain read with 47/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 6.74–10.38; The largest call open-interest concentration is 11.00; the largest put concentration is 9.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00.

Priced range6.74–10.38
Call concentration11.00
Put concentration9.00
Max pain reference9.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 31 Jul

Options imply 6.74 to 10.38. Max pain at 9.00 sits inside that range, 5.1% above spot.

Spot Max pain
6.748.56 ± 1.8210.38
Confirmation level

A close beyond 10.38 or below 6.74 at the 31 Jul expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 47/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 67/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure67 × 42%
+28.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score46.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 11.00; the largest put concentration is 9.00. The most active strike by current volume is 10.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
151
5.00-41.6%
21
79
6.00-29.9%
69
496
7.50-12.4%
94
382
8.00-6.5%
431
1639
8.50-0.7%
524
2285
9.005.1%
855
441
9.5011.0%
1015
502
10.0016.8%
2867
21
10.5022.7%
2117
5
11.0028.5%
3225
4
11.5034.3%
650
4
12.0040.2%
2018
9
12.5046.0%
231
6
13.0051.9%
196
4
15.0075.2%
344
4
16.0086.9%
493
2
17.0098.6%
96
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.65× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.42 31 Jul 1d
1.03 7 Aug 8d
0.92 14 Aug 15d
0.86 21 Aug 22d
0.86 28 Aug 29d
0.85 4 Sep 36d
0.80 11 Sep 43d
0.87 18 Sep 50d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

7
8
8
9
9
10
10
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
730 / 730
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

92/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.6M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+67
1W price-11.4%
Call premium86%
Put premium14%
Notional split C 86% / P 14% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 31 Jul Matched earnings event is 0 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 2138 contracts traded, $347602 estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$347602
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 10262 contracts traded, $246398 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$246398
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 2164 contracts traded, $223110 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$223110
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 370 contracts traded, $218780 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$218780
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 297 contracts traded, $124690 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$124690

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close8.56
1W-11.4%
RS-36.7
Fair value-61.6%
Options pressure67
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 21.3% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 1.42 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.23 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:58 Volatility
Pressure 71
Move 15.4%
30 Jul 10:48 Bullish
Pressure 54
Move 17.9%
30 Jul 23:33 Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 21.3%
31 Jul 01:05 Volatility
Pressure 67
Move 21.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike3.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike4.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 9
Puts · V 1 · OI 0
Strike4.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 22
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 21
Puts · V 0 · OI 151
Strike5.50
Calls · V 7 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike6.00
Calls · V 7 · OI 69
Puts · V 0 · OI 79
Strike6.50
Calls · V 6 · OI 53
Puts · V 0 · OI 37
Strike7.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 36
Puts · V 0 · OI 33

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts56
Avg IV1.42
Put-call0.25
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV1.03
Put-call0.15
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts60
Avg IV0.92
Put-call0.33
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts58
Avg IV0.86
Put-call0.35
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts50
Avg IV0.86
Put-call1.55

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.02
Put IV1.99
Skew0.97
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.97
Put IV0.97
Skew-
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.97
Put IV1.04
Skew0.07
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.07
Put IV0.99
Skew-0.08
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.83
Put IV0.88
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractDJT260807C00013000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike13.00
Volume1829
OI115
IV1.20
ContractDJT260731C00011000
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike11.00
Volume1674
OI3225
IV1.02
ContractDJT260731C00010500
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike10.50
Volume1299
OI2117
IV1.03
ContractDJT260731C00012000
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike12.00
Volume1117
OI2018
IV1.47
ContractDJT260731P00010000
SidePut
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike10.00
Volume1064
OI502
IV1.15
ContractDJT260731C00010000
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike10.00
Volume1027
OI2867
IV0.97
ContractDJT260918C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume884
OI4319
IV0.79
ContractDJT260807C00011000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike11.00
Volume795
OI734
IV0.98