Primary read
Bullish
Call-side pressure
Ticker Options Intelligence
LYV options intelligence
Live Nation Entertainment Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
40
Market data through 31 Jul 2026
Checked 1 Aug 2026 21:24 · complete available chain
Call-side pressure
Bullish pressure
LYV currently carries bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.
Expected move
3.1%
Near-term move context
Activity / OI
0.02
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
0.58
Call-side skew
Trend fit
66
Options agree with trend context
Weekly backdrop
-1.8%
RS 1.8
Expected move
3.1%
Put-call volume
0.58
Volume / OI
0.02
Reference IV
0.31
Max pain
180.00
Underlying
174.13
Nearest expiry
7 Aug 2026
Contracts
1046
Research Brief
LYV has a bullish chain read with 40/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 168.78–179.48; The largest call open-interest concentration is 200.00; the largest put concentration is 170.00. The most active strike by current volume is 177.50.
Priced range168.78–179.48
Call concentration200.00
Put concentration170.00
Max pain reference180.00
- Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
- The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
- Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 168.78 to 179.48. Max pain at 180.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.
Spot
Max pain
168.78174.13 ± 5.35179.48
Confirmation level
A close beyond 179.48 or below 168.78 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 40/100
Pressure is 26/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure26 × 42%
+10.8
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation40 × 22%
+8.9
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement66 × 26%
+17.1
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility34 × 10%
+3.4
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 200.00; the largest put concentration is 170.00. The most active strike by current volume is 177.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
30
157.50-9.6%
0
30
160.00-8.1%
0
18
165.00-5.2%
0
231
170.00-2.4%
0
2
172.50-0.9%
0
7
175.000.5%
5
66
177.501.9%
0
20
180.003.4%
12
0
182.504.8%
17
2
185.006.2%
80
2
190.009.1%
7
0
192.5010.5%
13
0
195.0012.0%
39
0
200.0014.9%
207
0
205.0017.7%
16
0
207.5019.2%
24
0
210.0020.6%
176
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Volatility Curve
Back-loaded volatility
Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.
0.31
7 Aug
7d
0.31
14 Aug
14d
0.32
21 Aug
21d
0.32
28 Aug
28d
0.33
4 Sep
35d
0.32
11 Sep
42d
0.32
18 Sep
49d
0.32
16 Oct
77d
Volatility by Strike
Downside protection premium
Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.
140
145
146
147
149
153
155
158
163
168
170
173
178
183
185
188
193
198
200
203
208
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.
Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
- Versioned calculationv2 observations only
- Independent entryone read per market session
- Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
- Matched expiry closereported only after maturity
Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
High
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 31 Jul 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 1046 / 1046
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate
Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.
Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.
Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1.1M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+26
1W price-1.8%
Call premium49%
Put premium51%
Notional split
C 49% / P 51%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.02
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
66/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window
6 Aug
Matched earnings event is 5 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Puts · 91+ days · OTM
puts cluster with 345 contracts traded, $295855 estimated gross traded notional, and 26% of visible notional.
$295855
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM
puts cluster with 93 contracts traded, $130800 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$130800
Calls · 22-45 days · OTM
calls cluster with 445 contracts traded, $124550 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$124550
Calls · 91+ days · ITM
calls cluster with 32 contracts traded, $111210 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$111210
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 62 contracts traded, $97882 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$97882
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.
Activity Anomaly
Warming up
3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.
Baseline: 3 completed sessions
Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close174.13
1W-1.8%
RS1.8
Fair value+38.3%
Options pressure26
Speculation40
Volatility34
Trend fit66
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:11
Volatility
Pressure 71
Move 5.9%
30 Jul 10:07
Volatility
Pressure 26
Move 7.0%
31 Jul 10:04
Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 6.0%
31 Jul 21:08
Bearish
Pressure -45
Move 5.7%
1 Aug 10:55
Bullish
Pressure 26
Move 3.6%
1 Aug 20:24
Bullish
Pressure 26
Move 3.1%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike115.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike120.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike125.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts102
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.52
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.14
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts100
Avg IV0.32
Put-call0.50
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts66
Avg IV0.32
Put-call1.20
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts66
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.00
Skew
Call/put IV balance
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.34
Skew0.01
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.31
Skew-0.01
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.35
Skew0.03
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.32
Skew0.01
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.33
Skew-
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractLYV260904C00185000
SideCall
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Strike185.00
Volume440
OI-
IV0.31
ContractLYV260807C00177500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike177.50
Volume383
OI-
IV0.33
ContractLYV280616P00145000
SidePut
Expiry16 Jun 2028
Strike145.00
Volume148
OI804
IV0.34
ContractLYV280616P00110000
SidePut
Expiry16 Jun 2028
Strike110.00
Volume148
OI804
IV0.37
ContractLYV260807P00160000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike160.00
Volume127
OI30
IV0.24
ContractLYV260821C00180000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike180.00
Volume121
OI466
IV0.31
ContractLYV260807P00170000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike170.00
Volume89
OI231
IV0.34
ContractLYV260807C00190000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike190.00
Volume86
OI7
IV0.24
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
Market Watch
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Earnings
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.