Polymarket · Geopolitics

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 8.5% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 8.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 53/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.5%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90.2K Liquidity 18.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality53.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 8.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 53/100.

Same theme
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? 1.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 34.0% · Watch · score 36 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? 7.1% · Watch · score 36 Xi Jinping out before 2027? 7.1% · Watch · score 34 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? 3.0% · Watch · score 34 Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 46.0% · Watch · score 33