Polymarket · Geopolitics
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
Geopolitics expectations are steady at 0.8% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 0.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -22.8 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
0.9%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
39
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 919
Liquidity 8.4K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality40.7
Momentum30.0
Urgency53.5
7d Move-22.9 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 0.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -22.8 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme