Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are steady at 7.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -4.5 pts. Data quality 47/100.
Probability
7.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
35
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.7K
Liquidity 15.2K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality47.5
Momentum11.1
Urgency52.3
7d Move-4.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -4.5 pts. Data quality 47/100.
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