Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Geopolitics expectations are rising at 48.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 48.5%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move -7.0 pts. Data quality 45/100.
Probability
48.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
33
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.7K
Liquidity 4.8K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality44.9
Momentum24.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-7.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is rising at 48.5%. 24h move +3.0 pts. 7d move -7.0 pts. Data quality 45/100.
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