Polymarket · Energy
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Energy expectations are falling at 35.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 35.5%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
35.5%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
56
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 97.5K
Liquidity 66.6K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality56.2
Momentum63.8
Urgency41.2
7d Move-11.0 pts
Energy expectation is falling at 35.5%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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