Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 85.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 85.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
85.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
32
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.9K
Liquidity 1.6K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality42.3
Momentum23.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-2.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 85.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Same theme