Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 6.1% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 6.1%. 24h move -15.9 pts. 7d move -15.9 pts. Data quality 45/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
6.1%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
52
Freshness
now
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.9K
Liquidity 5.1K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.0
Momentum73.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-15.9 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 6.1%. 24h move -15.9 pts. 7d move -15.9 pts. Data quality 45/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme