Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 20.7% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 20.7%. 24h move -29.3 pts. 7d move -29.3 pts. Data quality 38/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 20.7%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 55
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.2K Liquidity 171 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.5
Momentum75.0
Urgency52.3
7d Move-29.3 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 20.7%. 24h move -29.3 pts. 7d move -29.3 pts. Data quality 38/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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