Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Nina Warken be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 2.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 2.0%. 24h move -30.0 pts. 7d move -30.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 2.1%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 48
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 98 Liquidity 9.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality35.6
Momentum75.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move-30.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 2.0%. 24h move -30.0 pts. 7d move -30.0 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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