Polymarket · Energy

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

Energy expectations are rising at 33.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 33.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 56/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 33.5%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 99.1K Liquidity 51.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality55.6
Momentum5.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move1.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 33.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 56/100.

Same theme
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? 50.5% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in Georgia? 83.0% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? 20.5% · Probability Fade · score 58 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? 21.7% · Probability Surge · score 57 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? 35.5% · Probability Fade · score 56 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? 30.5% · Probability Fade · score 52