Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 16.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 16.0%. 24h move -5.5 pts. 7d move -5.5 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 16.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 32
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 91 Liquidity 1.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality32.0
Momentum34.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-5.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 16.0%. 24h move -5.5 pts. 7d move -5.5 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 15.5% · Probability Fade · score 45 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? 10.1% · Probability Surge · score 40 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in May? 0.1% · Probability Fade · score 39 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting? 78.0% · Probability Surge · score 28 Will Warsh say "Rate" or "Cut" during June Press Conference? 91.5% · Watch · score 27 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? 7.5% · Watch · score 25