Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 0.7% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.7%. 24h move -0.4 pts. 7d move -0.4 pts. Data quality 41/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.7%
Signal Watch
Score 23
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 968 Liquidity 8.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.8
Momentum2.3
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.4 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.7%. 24h move -0.4 pts. 7d move -0.4 pts. Data quality 41/100.

Same theme
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference? 53.0% · Probability Fade · score 37 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 0.1% · Watch · score 35 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? 65.5% · Probability Fade · score 34 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? 7.5% · Watch · score 28 Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? 9.5% · Watch · score 27 Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? 4.2% · Watch · score 27