Polymarket · Energy

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Energy expectations are steady at 4.6% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 4.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.6%
Signal Watch
Score 25
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 91 Liquidity 24.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency45.3
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 4.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 37/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? 7.5% · Probability Fade · score 68 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? 2.5% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 49.0% · Probability Surge · score 66 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? 40.5% · Probability Surge · score 65 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? 76.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? 30.4% · Probability Surge · score 59