Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?
Geopolitics expectations are steady at 99.6% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 99.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 37/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
99.7%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
29
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 902
Liquidity 1.8K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality37.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency68.4
7d Move0.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 99.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 37/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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